Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets: Top 5 including Seiya Suzuki, Will Smith, and more for June 26, 2025
The long ball is alive and thriving this week, and Thursday’s MLB matchups set the stage for another fireworks show. With sluggers squaring off against homer-prone arms and hitters carrying scorching recent outings, this slate’s got all the ingredients for a home run binge.
Whether it’s elite barrel rates, favorable park factors, or head-to-head dominance, today’s prop board is stacked with value spots for power hitters ready to make noise. Here’s a fresh five-pack of names worth backing for a trip around the bases on June 26.
Note: Odds are set by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. No outcome can be guaranteed when betting on sports.
Today’s Five Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
#5. Byron Buxton (+330)
Byron Buxton is flat-out scorching right now. The Twins outfielder has erupted for six homers in his last nine games, including two separate multi-homer performances during that stretch.
He’s raised his season line to a .279 average with 17 homers, 47 RBIs and 13 steals, and his recent surge has him slugging .857 with a ridiculous 1.242 OPS over his last 39 plate appearances.
Thursday night, he gets a prime matchup at home against Emerson Hancock, who’s carrying a 5.43 ERA and has struggled to keep the ball in the yard. With Buxton’s red-hot barrel rate and ability to punish mistakes, he’s one of the most dangerous bats on the board.
#4. Seiya Suzuki (+380)
Seiya Suzuki is looking like a sneaky power play Thursday night. The Cubs slugger is sitting on 21 homers and 67 RBIs, and he’s already gone deep once in this series against the Cardinals.
Even better, Suzuki owns three hits in four career at-bats against Thursday night’s starter, Andre Pallante, giving him the kind of matchup history bettors love.
With his recent pop (four homers in his last eight games) and solid numbers against Pallante, Suzuki’s swing is dialed in for another big moment.
#3. Andy Pages (+300)
Andy Pages is riding a hot streak and looks primed to keep it rolling Thursday night. The Dodgers outfielder is hitting .297 with 16 homers and 54 RBIs, but it’s his last 10 games that jump off the page: a .405 average, four homers, 12 RBIs and a massive 1.225 OPS.
He’ll face the same struggling Austin Gomber, who’s fresh off a three-homer meltdown in his last start. With Pages squaring up everything he sees lately and Gomber’s recent struggles, this matchup screams home run value.
#2. Cal Raleigh (+225)
Cal Raleigh is locked in at the plate right now, delivering one of the hottest stretches of his season. Over his last eight games, Raleigh is hitting a blistering .424 with six homers, 15 RBIs and a 1.547 OPS, while crushing the ball with a 49.8% hard-hit rate and an absurd 20% barrel rate per plate appearance.
He’ll square off Thursday night against Simeon Woods Richardson and his 5.06 ERA, a matchup that’s tailor-made for a slugger in this kind of groove. With elite recent power metrics and a red-hot bat, Raleigh’s a serious threat to leave the yard again.
#1. Will Smith (+240)
Will Smith has been quietly crushing it for the Dodgers, hitting .330 with nine homers and 42 RBIs, and his recent surge makes him even more dangerous.
Over his last 11 games, Smith is batting .368 with four home runs, nine RBIs and a 1.172 OPS, consistently barreling up the baseball with authority. He now gets Austin Gomber, who just served up three homers in his last outing and carries an ugly 8.38 ERA into this matchup.
With Smith’s sharp eye and power swing, Thursday night is a golden opportunity for him to add another long ball to his tally.