Today’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets: Top 5 picks including Matt Olson, Ketel Marte, and more for May 13, 2025
Today’s MLB home run prop bets are loaded with potential value, featuring power hitters facing pitchers who have struggled in recent outings. Matt Olson, sitting at +350, is in an excellent position to take advantage of Nationals pitcher Michael Soroka, who has a 7.20 ERA this season. Olson’s impressive exit velocity and barrel rate make him a serious threat, especially against a pitcher who has struggled in his recent starts.
Meanwhile, Adolis Garcia comes in at +275 to hit a home run against the Rockies’ Kyle Freeland, whose 6.41 ERA hints at vulnerability. Despite Garcia’s lower batting average, his hard-hit rate and barrel percentage suggest he’s primed for a big hit in this matchup.
Add in Kyle Tucker, who’s been on a tear with a 10/10 homer and steal feat, and Dansby Swanson, who’s shown a hot bat with two homers in the past three days, and we’ve got a lineup full of power waiting to break through today.
Note: Odds are set by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. No outcome can be guaranteed when betting on sports.
Today’s 5 Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
#5. Ketel Marte (Arizona Diamondbacks): +350
Ketel Marte has quietly been making quality contact this season, hitting .263 with three homers. His advanced metrics back up the upside, with a .283 expected average, .528 slugging and a 7.8% barrel rate.
Facing the Giants’ Robbie Ray, who boasts a 5-0 record but is prone to giving up hard contact, Ketel Marte’s disciplined plate approach and 92.2 mph exit velocity make him a strong home run candidate. With a solid value of +350, this matchup presents a promising opportunity for Marte to go yard.
#4. Adolis Garcia (Texas Rangers): +275
Adolis Garcia hasn’t hit for average this season at .221, but the power is still there with five homers and a strong 10.2% barrel rate. His 92.1 mph exit velocity and 37.3% hard-hit rate suggest he’s consistently making dangerous contact. Against the Rockies’ Kyle Freeland, who’s struggled to a 6.41 ERA, Garcia’s aggressive swing and ability to lift the ball make him a solid home run bet in this spot.
#3. Kyle Tucker (Chicago Cubs): +380
Kyle Tucker’s putting together a sharp 2025 campaign with 10 homers, 10 steals and a .268 average, becoming just the second Cub to notch a 10/10 season in the first 40 games. His 10.5% barrel rate and balanced 1.26 BB/K ratio show disciplined, impactful hitting. With +380 odds on the board and facing Valente Bellozo’s 3.50 ERA, Tucker’s power-speed combo offers strong value in today’s home run market.
#2. Dansby Swanson (Chicago Cubs): +425
Dansby Swanson, with nine home runs and 24 RBIs in 2025, has been on a hot streak with two homers in the past three days, including one just yesterday. With his .248 average and solid power numbers, Swanson is in great form heading into today’s game. Facing Valente Bellozo with a 3.50 ERA and +425 odds for a home run, Swanson’s recent power surge makes him a value pick for today’s prop bets.
#1. Matt Olson (Atlanta Braves): +350
Matt Olson has been solid in 2025, with seven home runs and 21 RBIs, despite his .224 batting average. His power, with an exit velocity of 94.2 mph and a hard hit rate of 42.1%, keeps him a constant threat. Facing Michael Soroka, who has a 7.20 ERA and has allowed significant damage this season, Olson’s +350 odds for a home run are promising. With his barrel rate of 10.3%, Olson has a good chance of taking advantage of Soroka’s struggles and adding to his home run tally today.