Yankees vs. Mets: Game 1, prediction, odds, injuries and picks - May 16, MLB 2025
The Yankees host the Mets for the first Subway Series matchup of the 2025 MLB season. Many eyes will be glued to the matchup as baseball's most expensive player, Juan Soto, makes his return to the Bronx donning the orange and blue.
Soto had a memorable single-year campaign with the Yanks in 2024 and helped the squad reach the World Series for the first time since 2009. Ahead of the new season, however, he elected to sign for their cross-city rivals in what was the richest contract ever given to a sportsperson, valued at $765 million.
In 2024, the Mets dominated the Subway Series and were victorious in all four meetings against the Yanks.
Yankees vs Mets recent form and records
The Bombers hold a firm grip over the AL East with a 25-18 record. They lead the majors in home runs with 76 and OPS with .828, and are 13-8 at home.
The Mets, likewise, possess the best record in their division at 28-16. They have established dominance on both sides of the ball but have performed better on the mound with a 2.84 ERA for the pitching crew.
Players to watch
Starting pitchers
NYY: Carlos Rodon (4-3, 3.29 ERA, 67 K), NYM: Tylor Megill (3-3, 3.10 ERA, 52 K)
New York Yankees
Carlos Rodon has performed well in his third season in the Bronx. The lefty holds a 4-3 record across nine starts with a 3.29 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 67 strikeouts.
Must-Watch Hitters
New York Mets
All eyes will be on the prodigal son as Juan Soto makes his highly anticipated Yankee Stadium debut for the Mets.
The 2024 AL MVP podium finisher is batting at .255/.380/.465 with an OPS of .845. Soto has also compiled eight home runs, 20 RBIs, and 31 runs scored for his new squad.
Yankees vs Mets baseball betting odds
Yankees vs Mets expert picks and game prediction
A titanic clash is set to ensue in the Big Apple between the cross-city rivals. Although the Mets have the better-performing pitching crew, Yankee starter Carlos Rodon is undefeated in two starts against the team with a 0.84 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt, Juan Soto, and Pete Alonso will all be relied upon to deliver the results for their respective squads. Expect a tight-knit affair between the New York juggernauts.
Run Line: +1.5, -180
Total Runs: U 8.5, +106
Prediction: NYY wins, 2-1