Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction and Betting Tips | Nov. 24, 2024
The Dallas Mavericks are in Florida to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday, with both teams looking to secure a vital win after underwhelming starts to the season.
Dallas is currently riding a four-game win streak and is coming off a statement win over Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets. Despite the strong run, Jason Kidd's team has a 9-7 record and sits ninth in the Western Conference standings.
The Mavericks will enter the Kaseya Center without All-Star Luka Doncic, who is sidelined with a right wrist strain. The loss of their leading scorer will definitely be a major blow for an offense that currently ranks fifth in the West in points per game.
Meanwhile, Miami is coming off a commanding 17-point win over the Philadelphia 76ers but has struggled to find any consistency during the early stage of the season. The Heat have a 6-7 overall record and have won four of their last 10 games. They are sixth in the Eastern Conference standings.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat preview, betting tips, odds, and prediction
The Miami Heat will host the Dallas Mavericks at the Kaseya Center on Sunday, with the game set to tip off at 6 p.m. EST. The game will be available locally on FanDuel Sports Network - Sun and KFAA. Fans can also stream the matchup on NBA League Pass or fuboTV.
Moneyline: Mavericks (+125 ), Heat (-140)
Spread: Mavericks +3.5 (-115 ), Heat -3.5 (-105)
Total (Over/Under): Over 222.5 (-105), Under 222.5 (-115)
Note: All odds are subject to change closer to tip-off. The listed odds were based on information at the time of writing.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat preview
After securing four straight victories over the San Antonio Spurs, OKC Thunder, New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets over the last eight days, the Mavs will feel good about their chances going into Sunday's game.
The loss of Luka Doncic to injury will be a concern, but Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson have both stepped up in the absence of the team's superstar. Irving is averaging 23.9 points per game and is coming off a 19-point performance against the Nuggets.
Dallas center Daniel Gafford is listed as a day-to-day due to a left shoulder issue. The Mavericks will also be without guard Dante Exum, who is sidelined with a wrist injury.
Over 13 games this season, Miami has yet to string together a three-game win streak. Coach Erik Spoelstra's team has struggled at home with a subpar 2-3 record and will hope a win against a Doncic-less Mavericks team can change the trajectory of the franchise.
Tyler Herro has been the standout player for the Heat. The sixth-year guard's offensive production has been critical during the first month of the season. Herro currently leads the Heat roster in points (24.2) and assists (5.2) and ranks second in minutes (33.8), behind only Bam Adebayo.
The home team will go into Sunday's matchup without guard Dru Smith. Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier are both listed as game-time decisions.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat betting tips
Without Doncic, we can expect to see the bulk of the Mavericks offense go through eight-time All-Star Kyrie Irving. The Mavs guard's over/under for assists is set at 7.5. Irving is only averaging 5.3 assists over the 2024-25 campaign, but with the talented point guard seeing more touches due to Doncic's absence, he should be able to clear the 7.5 assists mark.
Tyler Herro will be the player to keep an eye on for the Heat. The 24-year-old sharpshooter has been sensational this season and continues to put up big numbers week after week. On Nov. 12 against Detroit, he scored 40 points. Herro followed that up with 20, 28 and 18-point outings in his last three games. With the home crowd behind him, expect Herro to go over the 21.5-point total.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat prediction
The Dallas Mavericks did well to hold off Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets without Doncic on Friday, but it is hard to see them pulling off another upset against a defensively sound Miami Heat team. Led by a boisterous home crowd at the Kaseya Center, expect the Heat to take this game and cover the 3.5 points.