Breaking down five teams with worst odds to make College Football Playoff ft. Mike Norvell's Florida State
The College Football Playoff hunt is on as the season moves into October — except that for some, it's essentially over. While the Alabamas and Ohio States of the world have their programs in place for a playoff run, other teams are practically eliminated. 25 different P4 teams have longer than +10000 playoff odds. Here are the P4 teams with the longest shots to reach the CFP.
5 Teams with the Worst Odds to Reach College Football Playoff
5. Mississippi State
The Bulldogs have slid to the bottom of the SEC. After a 1-4 start, their playoff hopes are in the range of slim to none. Vegas has them at +40000. ESPN's FPI not only gives MSU a 0.0% chance at the CFP but also a 0.4% chance of winning six games.
4. Purdue
The Boilermakers are off to a 1-3 start and have slid to the back of the Big Ten. There are three B1G schools that Vegas projects at +40000 odds for the playoff — UCLA and Northwestern are the other two. All three teams are also given a 0.0% chance (as is Minnesota) by the FPI. However, Purdue's 0.1% chance to win six games is the definition of futility.
3. Houston
While there is significant competition atop the Big 12, the bottom is more clear-cut. Baylor and Houston are the two teams FPI has at 0.0% playoff chances. Houston's +50000 odds are one of the worst in the nation. The 1-4 Cougars are given just a 0.6% chance of even reaching 6-6.
2. Florida State
The Seminoles have been one of the stories of the season. A preseason top ten team (No. 10), they're 1-4 and have +50000 odds at reaching the playoff. FPI still gives the Seminoles a 5.3% chance of reaching six wins but a 0.0% shot at a playoff spot. It seems destined to be a disappointing season in Tallahassee.
1. Wake Forest
The Deacons are right there with Florida State at the bottom of the ACC. They are 1-3 and also have +50000 odds in the betting lines to reach the playoff. FPI is even less optimistic on Wake Forest than FSU, with a 3.8% chance of six wins (even with one more game left to play) and the same 0.0% shot at making the playoff.