UCF vs Florida Prediction & Betting Tips - Oct 5 | College Football Week 6

Week 6 brings a clash of Sunshine State schools, as Florida takes on UCF on Saturday. Contrary to their usual standings, the Knights come into the game having had the better start to their season. The Gators are currently 2-2, while the Knights are 3-1, having lost the season's first game in Week 5 against the Colorado Buffaloes.

The game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainsville, Florida. A trip to the Swamp is always a tall order for any school. In their last week's encounter, the Gators defeated the Mississippi State Bulldogs 45-28. Graham Mertz had a solid performance, throwing for 201 yards with three touchdowns. Also impressive was a committee effort by the Gators of 226 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

As mentioned, the UCF Knights fell to the Colorado Buffaloes at home in Week 5. At face value, KJ Jefferson had outstanding numbers, with him throwing for 284 yards and two touchdown passes. However, he also allowed two key interceptions. He also ran for 76 yards and scored a rushing touchdown.

UCF vs. Florida prediction and odds

There isn't a lot separating both schools as they go into their weekend clash, according to the oddsmakers. ESPN's game predictor is giving the Florida Gators a 51.4% chance of winning the game, and ESPN Bet has the UCF Knights as 2.5-point favorites. A tossup.

The over and under is set at -110, while the money line is at -135 for UCF and +115 for Florida. We do favor the Knights to take the win in the Swamp.

Prediction: 35-33 UCF win

UCF vs. Florida betting tips

According to the over and under, the final score should be UCF 32-30 Florida. We are giving the Knights a 35-33 win, expecting them to win by a field goal.
Although ESPN is giving the Gators a 51.4% chance of winning the game, Fox Sports gives the Knights a 57.8% chance of winning.
Florida has just one game against the spread this season.
The spread is -2.5 in favor of the UCF Knights.
The Knights are 3-1-0 against the spread this season.

UCF vs. Florida series head-to-head

Despite sharing the Sunshine State, the Gators and the Knights haven't met each other often. There have been three games in the history of the clash, with Florida holding a 2-1 lead over UCF. However, the Knights won the latest encounter in 2021 with a score of 29-17. The prior two games, in 2006 and 1999, were both wins for the Gators.

Of note is also the fact that KJ Jefferson led the Arkansas Razorbacks to a win over the Gators in 2023. He threw for 255 yards, with two touchdowns and an interception. The game was also played in Gainsville, and it ended 39-36 in favor of the Hogs.

How to watch UCF vs. Florida in Week 6?

The game will air through the SEC Network, which you can stream on Hulu + Live TV, FuboTV and Sling. You can also stream the game through ESPN+. SEC Network is available on the ESPN app with your cable provider's credentials.