ICC Champions Trophy 2017, India vs Pakistan Match Prediction: Who will win today's match
After 17 days of action, we are down to the final two in the 2017 ICC Champions Trophy. India and Pakistan will contest the final of the tournament at what is expected to a full house a The Oval on Sunday.
Both teams have come into the event, on the back of some interesting results in the Group stage. India trounced their arch-rivals by 124 runs in the opening game at Birmingham and then lost to Sri Lanka in their very next match.
A clinical performance against South Africa in their final Group match meant a semifinal against Bangladesh was set up. The Asian neighbours were swept away in a commanding batting performance and it meant that the ‘Men In Blue’ reached their second consecutive Champions Trophy final.
On the other hand, after losing to India in their opening Group match, Pakistan steadily gathered momentum to make their way into the final. A rain-affected win against South Africa got them off the mark in the competition and then a thrilling win over Sri Lanka, meant a semifinal against England was set up.
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The hosts went into the contest as the favourites, but the ‘green brigade’ once again showed why they were considered such an unpredictable outfit, putting forth a superb all-round performance to march their way into the final.
The question ahead of the big-final is which Pakistan outfit would turn up – will it be the side that dismantled England or the side that so terribly lost against India in their opening match?
Here’s a look at the way both teams stack up in performances since the 2015 World Cup.
| India | Pakistan | |||
| Win Probability* (Based on overall ODI form and history) | 67% | Win Probability* (Based on overall ODI form and history) | 33% | |
| When India Bats 1st | When Pakistan Bats 1st | |||
| Win % batting first | 64% | Win % batting first | 44% | |
| Win % batting first & scoring more than 300 | 50% | Win % batting first & scoring more than 300 | 83% | |
| Team total batting first | 286 | Team total batting first | 278 | |
| Top batsmen in 1st innings | Virat Kohli Inns-11, R-619, Avg-61.90, 100s-2, 50s-4 ... Rohit Sharma Inns-10, R-593, Avg-65.88, 100s-2, 50s-3 | Top batsmen in 1st innings | Babar Azam Inns-14, R-864, Avg-66.46, 100s-4, 50s-3 ... Azhar Ali Inns-16, R-713, Avg-44.56, 100s-2, 50s-4 | |
| When India Bats 2nd | When Pakistan Bats 2nd | |||
| Win % batting second | 53% | Win % batting second | 50% | |
| Win % chasing more than 300 | 29% | Win % chasing more than 300 | 13% | |
| Team total batting second | 281 | Team total batting second | 253 | |
| Top batsmen in 2nd innings | Virat Kohli Inns-14, R-852, Avg-85.20, 100s-3, 50s-5 ... Rohit Sharma Inns-12, R-622, Avg-56.54, 100s-2, 50s-3 | Top batsmen in 2nd innings | Mohammad Hafeez Inns-20, R-741, Avg-41.16, 100s-2, 50s-3 ... Shoaib Malik Inns-18, R-672, Avg-74.66, 100s-1, 50s-4 | |
| When India Bowls 1st | When Pakistan Bowls 1st | |||
| Win % bowling first | 53% | Win % bowling first | 50% | |
| Win % when restricting opposition to less than 300 | 70% | Win % when restricting opposition to 300 or less | 71% | |
| Opposition score batting first | 254 | Opposition score batting first | 269 | |
| Top bowlers when team fields first | Jasprit Bumrah Inns-11, W-23, RPO-4.40 ... Umesh Yadav Inns-7, W-16, RPO-6.86 | Top bowler when team fields first | Hasan Ali Inns-11, W-28, RPO-5.86 ... Mohammad Amir Inns-11, W-17, RPO-5.47 | |
| When India Fields 2nd | When Pakistan Fields 2nd | |||
| Win % fielding second | 64% | Win % fielding second | 44% | |
| Win % when restricting opposition to less than 280 | 89% | Win % when restricting opposition to less than 280 | 47% | |
| Opposition batting second | 252 | Opposition batting second | 249 | |
| Top bowler when team fields second | Bhuvneshwar Kumar Inns-10, W-14, RPO-4.81 | Top bowlers when team fields second | Imad Wasim Inns-12, W-14, RPO-4.81 ... Hasan Ali Inns-9, W-11, RPO-5.13 | |
Note:
*Win Probability is based on form and history
The data considers ODI performances since WC 2015
Stats provided by ZeLadder, the data platform for amateur and professional sports.