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The all-time greatest Indian bowler - A statistical analysis

India has been predominantly a batting powerhouse. Yet, India has produced some fine bowlers, both spinners and pacers. It is hard to believe that once an Indian held the record for  the most number of wickets in Test cricket (Kapil Dev held the record till Courtney Walsh broke it in 2000).

To find out the best bowler India has produced, let us consider the top 5 highest wicket takers for India in ODIs and Tests combined.

1) Anil Kumble (956 wickets)

2) Kapil Dev (687 wickets)

3) Harbhajan Singh (665 wickets)

4) Zaheer Khan (573 wickets)

5) Javagal Srinath (551 wickets)

ODI bowling comparison:

1. Economy rate

 Player  Economy rate
 Anil Kumble  4.30
 Kapil Dev  3.71
 Harbhajan Singh  4.30
 Zaheer Khan  4.93
 Javagal Srinath  4.44

Here, to calculate the points each player gets for economy rate, the formula used is

[100-economy rate of the player]/[100-least economic rate among the players]  * 10

Points Table

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  9.93
 Kapil Dev  10
 Harbhajan Singh  9.93
 Zaheer Khan  9.87
 Javagal Srinath  9.92

2. Strike rate

 Player  Strike rate
 Anil Kumble  43
 Kapil Dev  44.2
 Harbhajan Singh  46.5
 Zaheer Khan  35.8
 Javagal Srinath  37.8

Here, to calculate the points each player gets for strike rate, the formula used is

[100-strike rate of player]/[100-least strike rate among the players]   * 10

Points table

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  8.87
 Kapil Dev  8.69
 Harbhajan Singh  8.64
 Zaheer Khan  10
 Javagal Srinath  9.68

3. Bowling average

 Player  Bowling Average
 Anil Kumble  30.89
 Kapil Dev  27.45
 Harbhajan Singh  33.40
 Zaheer Khan  29.43
 Javagal Srinath  28.08

Here, to calculate the points each player gets for bowling average, the formula used is

[100-average of the player]/[100-least average among the players] * 10

Points table

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  9.52
 Kapil Dev  10
 Harbhajan Singh  9.17
 Zaheer Khan  9.72
 Javagal Srinath  9.91

4. Ratio of Man-of-the-match awards won to number of matches played

Even a player’s contribution to team’s victory must be considered. Which, according to me is reflected in the man of the match awards won. So, if one sees the ratio of  man of the match awards won to the number of matches played, one might get some idea of the bowler’s contribution towards his team’s victory.

 Player  Ratio
 Anil Kumble  0.022
 Kapil Dev  0.008
 Harbhajan Singh  0.013
 Zaheer Khan  0.030
 Javagal Srinath  0.021

Here, the points for the above ratio are calculated by

Ratio for the player/highest ratio among the players

Points table 

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  7.33
 Kapil Dev  2.66
 Harbhajan Singh  4.33
 Zaheer Khan  10
 Javagal Srinath  7

Now, adding the points given for these 4 parameters, we get the final total for each player as follows:

Total points

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  35.65
 Kapil Dev  31.35
 Harbhajan Singh  32.07
 Zaheer Khan  39.59
 Javagal Srinath  36.51

From the above calculations, statistically, Zaheer Khan is the best ODI bowler India has produced.

Test bowling comparison:

1. Strike rate

 Player  Strike rate
 Anil Kumble  65.9
 Kapil Dev  63.9
 Harbhajan Singh  68.1
 Zaheer Khan  58.6
 Javagal Srinath  64

Points table

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  8.23
 Kapil Dev  8.71
 Harbhajan Singh  7.70
 Zaheer Khan  10
 Javagal Srinath  8.69

2. Bowling average

 Player  Average
 Anil Kumble  29.65
 Kapil Dev  29.64
 Harbhajan Singh  32.22
 Zaheer Khan  32.06
 Javagal Srinath  30.49

Points table 

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  9.99
 Kapil Dev  10
 Harbhajan Singh  9.63
 Zaheer Khan  9.65
 Javagal Srinath  9.87

3. Ratio of man-of-the-match awards to number of matches played

 Player  Ratio
 Anil Kumble  0.075
 Kapil Dev  0.061
 Harbhajan Singh  0.061
 Zaheer Khan  0.058
 Javagal Srinath  0.104

Points table

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  7.21
 Kapil Dev  5.86
 Harbhajan Singh  5.86
 Zaheer Khan  5.57
 Javagal Srinath  10

Now, we add the points for these 3 parameters in Tests:

Total Points

 Player  points
 Anil Kumble  25.43
 Kapil Dev  24.57
 Harbhajan Singh  23.19
 Zaheer Khan  25.22
 Javagal Srinath  28.56

Surprisingly, according to above calculations, Javagal Srinath has been India’s best Test bowler, thanks to the more number of match-winning performances from the pacer.

Overall:

Points table (Test + ODI combined)

 Player  Points
 Anil Kumble  61.08
 Kapil Dev  55.92
 Harbhajan Singh  55.26
 Zaheer Khan  64.81
 Javagal Srinath  65.07

Statistically, Javagal Srinath is the best bowler India has ever produced, with Zaheer Khan being a close second. Many prominent bowlers like Bishen Singh Bedi could not make it to the list as they did not satisfy the criteria required.

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