Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio Prediction and Betting Tips | August 4th 2024
Athletico Paranaense play host to Gremio at the Arena da Baixada in round 21 of Brasileiro Serie A on Sunday. Martin Varini’s men have failed to win their last four home games in the league and will head into the weekend looking to end this poor run.
Athletico Paranaense placed one foot in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil as they secured a 2-0 victory over Red Bull Bragantino in the first leg of their last-16 clash on Wednesday.
Varini’s side have now won three successive games across all competitions, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Cuiaba in Serie A on July 28.
Paranaense have picked up eight wins and four draws from their 18 league games to collect 28 points and sit eighth in the table, level on points with ninth-placed Atletico Mineiro.
Gremio, on the other hand, played out a goalless draw with Corinthians in the first leg of their Copa do Brasil round-of-16 clash at the Neo Química Arena on Thursday.
Renato Portaluppi’s men now turn their attention to Serie A, where they are unbeaten in three consecutive games, claiming two wins and one draw since a 1-0 defeat against Sao Paulo on July 18.
With 18 points from 18 matches, Gremio are currently 16th in the league standings, level on points with 17th-placed Vitoria in the relegation zone.
Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio Head-To-Head and Key Numbers
- Gremio hold the upper hand in the history of this fixture, having won 23 of the last 47 meetings between the two sides.
- Athletico Paranaense have picked up 13 wins in that time, while 11 games have ended all square.
- Gremio are one of just two sides yet to taste victory away from home in Serie A this season and they currently hold the division’s second-lowest points tally on the road (2).
- Paranaense have won their last three home games across all competitions, scoring seven goals and conceding once since a 3-1 loss against Bahia on July 10.
Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio Prediction
The last four meetings between Paranaense and Gremio have produced a combined 14 goals and we are in for another thrilling matchup at the Arena da Baixada.
Given Gremio’s struggles on their travels, we are backing Varini’s men to come away with all three points in front of their home crowd.
Prediction: Athletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio
Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio Betting Tips
Tip 1: Result - Athletico Paranaense to win
Tip 2: Over 4.5 cards - Yes (There have been five or more bookings in five of the last six meetings between the two sides)
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals - No (There have been fewer than three goals scored in four of Gremio’s last five outings)