Spotrac.com contract forecast for DeSean Jackson

Spotrac.com gives the forecast for DeSean Jackson’s contract as follows:

Length of the Contract

Our variable receiver contracts averaged out to 5.25 years, a figure we’ll round down for projection purposes (especially with Jackson already 27 years of age).

Value of the Contract

Outside of the rib injury in 2012 – and the widely reported off-the-field concerns of late, Jackson has been a reliable asset to the Eagles’s offense since 2008. He has breakaway speed, above average hands, and a nose for the endzone and will upgrade ANY wide receiving core in the NFL immediately. Our initial base terms brought forth an average annual salary just over $9.6M, just under the $9.7M contract he was released from last week. We’ll provide a low and high projection based on the ACTUAL (w/ injury) 2012-13 statistics, and the PROJECTED ( w/o injury) 2012-13 statistics as explained above.

Low Value (Actual Statistics)

Utilizing our Actual Prime Percentage (-5.25%), we’re forecasting Jackson as the 8th highest average paid WR:
5 years, $45,647,471 | $9,129,494 per year | $13,348,995 guaranteed

High Value (Projected Statistics)

Utilizing our Projected Prime Percentage (5.64%), we’re forecasting Jackson as the 7th highest average paid WR:
5 years, $50,893,919 | $10,178,784 per year | $16,593,841 guaranteed

We’ll split the difference to offer the best-value forecast for Jackson’s next contract (which just happens to be almost identical to the contract he was just released out of).

Spotrac’s Prediction: 5 years, $48,270,695

Average Salary: $9,654,139

Guaranteed Money: $14,971,418

Update: Ian Rapoport is reporting DeSean Jackson gets a three year deal with the Redskins. I’m curious to see how close the numbers are compared to this forecast. I will  post an update later today or this week.