Brian Robinson Jr. fantasy outlook: Where should you draft Commanders RB in 2024?
Brian Robinson Jr. appears on deck to be the team's top running back this year, which raises questions about where, when and if the Commanders running back warrants consideration. Drafts are where fantasy seasons are won and lost, and every pick matters. Should managers spend one of their precious selections on Robinson? Here's an in-depth look at the player.
Should you draft Commanders RB Brian Robinson Jr. in 2024?
Brian Robinson Jr. is worthy of a pick by the mere fact he is expected to be a team's starting running back. Meaning, in a worst-case scenario, he is guaranteed about half of the team's running snaps every game. Running backs win fantasy football leagues and adding Robinson is strongly likely to get you closer to victory.
Brian Robinson 2024 fantasy outlook, ADP and 2023 stats
According to Sportskeeda's Fantasy Simulator for the 2024 season, Robinson is set to earn at least 1,000 yards on the ground this season. Additionally, he is expected to earn 262 yards through the air. In terms of touchdowns, he is set to add about seven total touchdowns. Meaning, he is expected to earn about 1,250 total yards and seven touchdowns.
This would be a massive step up from his rushing production in 2023 when he earned 733 yards and five touchdowns on the ground. In terms of receiving production, he is due to take a step back after a season of 368 yards and four touchdowns.
According to Fantasy Pros, Robinson Jr. has an ADP of about 94 overall, regardless of the type of scoring system.
Is Brian Robinson Jr. a good pick in fantasy football this year?
Yes, Robinson Jr. is a solid option in certain situations this year. There is a wrong time to choose him, however. If chosen at the wrong time in the draft, it could ruin one's season before it begins.
Where should you draft Brian Robinson this year?
Adding Robinson would not be a wasted pick. However, jumping to draft the Washington Commanders running back as soon as possible would be far too early.
As a borderline 1,000-yard running back, selecting him somewhere in the third or fourth round would not be considered a stretch in many leagues. However, there must be a run on running backs through the first several rounds to rationalize taking him this early.
If running backs stick around in your draft, it would make sense to draft Robinson in the fifth or sixth rounds. Put simply, this is not a Derrick Henry-level selection.