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Astana Open 2022: Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (2) Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut

Date: October 7, 2022

Tournament: Astana Open 2022

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Astana, Kazakhstan.

Category: ATP 500.

Surface: Hard.

Prize money: $1,900,000.

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | Canada - TSN | Australia - beIN Sports.


Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut preview

Daniil Medvedev will look to make the semifinals of the Astana Open
Daniil Medvedev will look to make the semifinals of the Astana Open

Second seed Daniil Medvedev will face Roberto Bautista Agut in the quarterfinals of the Astana Open on Friday.

Medvedev started the ATP 500 tournament with a comprehensive 6-3, 6-1 win over Albert Ramos-Vinolas. He faced Emil Ruusuvuori in the second round and broke the Finn in the opening game. He broke for a second time to win the first set 6-3.

Both players exchanged breaks in the first three games of the second set, but Medvedev dominated thereafter to win it 6-2 and book his place in the quarterfinals.

📸Daniil Medvedev, the 2nd seed, moves to the quarter-finals of the Astana Open thanks to a win over Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3, 6-2.

World no. 4 will play Roberto Bautista Agut next #AstanaOpen https://t.co/DKfbEwoEgm
Bautista Agut in action at the 2022 Davis Cup Finals
Bautista Agut in action at the 2022 Davis Cup Finals

Bautista Agut faced Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of the Astana Open and won the opening set 6-4.

The Canadian took a 3-1 lead in the second set but the Spaniard broke back immediately and leveled proceedings soon after. There were no further breaks of serve and the set went to a tie-break. Bautista Agut won it 8-6 to seal his place in the second round, where he was up against Pavel Kotov. He beat the young Russian 6-1, 7-6(5) to book his place in the quarterfinals of the Astana Open.

Roberto Bautista Agut is kind of a victim of his own incredible consistency.

The Spaniard has been in the top 30 for 8 straight years; the vast majority of that time in the top 20.

So, he kinda just sneaks up on you... like he did today against Pavel Kotov, winning 6-1, 7-6 (5) https://t.co/HU2Pw1iEUT

Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut head-to-head

Interestingly, Bautista Agut leads 4-1 in the head-to-head against Medvedev. The pair have locked horns twice already this season, with the Russian winning 6-2, 6-4 at the Halle Open while the Spaniard won 6-3, 6-2 at the Mallorca Championships.


Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games (Over and Under)
Daniil Medvedev-275-4.5 (+145)Over 20.5 (-190)
Roberto Bautista Agut+210+4.5 (-200)Under 20.5 (+130)

(All odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut prediction

Medvedev will look to score just his second win against Bautista Agut
Medvedev will look to score just his second win against Bautista Agut

Medvedev will enter the match as the favorite on paper, but Bautista Agut should not be written off given his positive head-to-head record against the Russian.

Medvedev might not be the most elegant player, but he is efficient and knows how to get the job done. It's very difficult to hit past the lanky Russian, making him one of the best defenders on tour. His powerful serve and groundstrokes also make him a formidable attacking threat.

Bautista Agut has served brilliantly so far at the Astana Open, winning 75.6% of first-serve points (59 out of 78) and 66% on his second (35 out of 53). He will have to keep up those numbers to challenge the Russian.

Medvedev might be trailing in the head-to-head, but he possesses more ability than his Spanish counterpart and should be able to get past him on Friday.

Pick: Medvedev to win in three sets.


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