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ATP Finals 2024: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (5) Taylor Fritz vs (7) Alex de Minaur

Date: November 14, 2024

Tournament: ATP Finals 2024

Round: Group Stage

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15,250,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur preview

Taylor Fritz at the ATP Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Taylor Fritz at the ATP Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Top 10 players Taylor Fritz and Alex de Minuar will clash in the group stage of the ATP Finals 2024.

Fritz commenced his campaign with a routine 6-4, 6-3 win over Daniil Medvedev. He was up against home favorite and World No. 1 Jannik Sinner in his second group-stage match. The two crossed paths in the final of the US Open a few months ago, with the Italian coming out on top back then.

Despite playing at a higher level compared to that contest, Fritz proved to be no match for Sinner even now. The American dropped his serve once in each set and slumped to a 6-4, 6-4 defeat this time.

Sinner proved too good for de Minaur as well, and he lost to him 6-3, 6-4 in his opening-round match here. He took on former World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev in his second group tie.

De Minaur was outplayed in the first set and got broken twice to lose the set. The second set was more competitive but the Australian couldn't push the match to a decider. A lone break of serve in the set put him on the back foot. He couldn't make up the deficit and eventually lost the match 6-2, 6-4.


Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur head-to-head

De Minaur leads Fritz 5-3 in the head-to-head. The former beat the latter in the group stage at this year's United Cup in straight sets, their most recent meeting.


Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Taylor Fritz
-250
+1.5 (-700)
Over 22.5 (-130)
Alex de Minaur
+190
-1.5 (+375)
Under 22.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur prediction

Alex de Minaur at the ATP Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Alex de Minaur at the ATP Finals 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Both players still have a shot at making it out of the group stage, though the odds are in Fritz's favor having won at least one match. Both need to win this match, ideally in straight sets. However, they are also dependent on the outcome of the other group tie between Sinner and Medvedev.

De Minaur has the advantage in this rivalry, though Fritz has played some great tennis since their last encounter. The Australian's debut at the ATP Finals has been far from ideal, having lost both matches without a fight. He would be keen to avoid a total washout and win at least one match.

Fritz has never beaten de Minaur in straight sets and has lost their last two meetings. Furthermore, he has lost both matches against him played on indoor hardcourts. However, given how they've played here so far, the American will be favored to come out on top this time.

Pick: Taylor Fritz to win in three sets.

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