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Canadian Open 2024: Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (15) Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe

Date: August 6, 2024

Tournament: National Bank Open 2024

Round: First Round (Round of 64)

Venue: IGA Stadium, Montreal, Canada

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $6,795,555

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - Sportsnet, TVA Sports


Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe preview

Alejandro Tabilo at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Alejandro Tabilo at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Fifteenth seed Alejandro Tabilo will face Frances Tiafoe in the first round of the Canadian Open 2024 on Tuesday (August 6).

Tabilo won his maiden ATP title in Auckland at the start of the season but failed to make it past the first hurdle at the Australian Open. He later reached the final of the Chile Open in front of his home crowd. However, he couldn't close the deal and lost to Sebastian Beaz in the summit clash.

Tabilo didn't win back-to-back matches until the Italian Open after that, where he made the semifinals. He won his second title of the year at the Mallorca Championships, and rode that wave of momentum to a third-round finish at Wimbledon, his best result at a Major thus far.

The Chilean returned to compete on clay at the ATP 250 in Kitzbuhel and the Paris Olympics. However, he didn't win a match at either of the two events, thus bringing a disappointing end to his clay swing.

Meanwhile, Tiafoe's best result this year has been a runner-up finish to Ben Shelton at the ATP 250 in Houston. A third-round showing at Wimbledon marks his best performance at the Majors thus far this season. He had Carlos Alcaraz on the ropes at the All England Club but let go of a two-sets-to-one lead to lose the match.

Tiafoe showed signs of return to form at last week's Citi Open in Washington. He tallied his first win over a top-10 player in nearly two years by ousting Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals. He was shown the door by his fellow American Sebastian Korda in the semifinals.


Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe head-to-head

Tiafoe leads Tabilo 1-0 in the head-to-head. He won their previous encounter at last year's Indian Wells Masters in straight sets.


Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Alejandro Tabilo
+130
-1.5 (+270)
Over 22.5 (-150)
Frances Tiafoe
-165
+1.5 (-450)
Under 22.5 (+105)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Alejandro Tabilo vs Frances Tiafoe prediction

Frances Tiafoe at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Frances Tiafoe at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Tabilo started the year ranked outside the top 80, and worked his way into the top 20 over the next few months. He has a 26-15 record this season, though he's 8-3 on hardcourts, with half of those wins coming during his title-winning run in Auckland.

Tiafoe appears to have regressed this season, and he's certainly capable of playing a lot better. He has amassed a 19-17 record for the year, and he's 11-9 on hardcourts.

Tabilo found it tough to outplay Tiafoe when they previously crossed paths at last year's Indian Wells Masters. The American's form has been questionable this year but he took a step in the right direction with a semifinal finish in Washington last week. If he keeps that up, he will be favored to one-up the Chilean once again.

Pick: Frances Tiafoe to win in straight sets.

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