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Canadian Open 2024: Tommy Paul vs Brandon Nakashima preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (10) Tommy Paul (Q) Brandon Nakashima

Date: August 8, 2024

Tournament: National Bank Open 2024

Round: Second Round (Round of 32)

Venue: IGA Stadium, Montreal, Canada

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hardcourt

Prize Money: $6,795,555

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - Sportsnet, TVA Sports


Tommy Paul vs Brandon Nakashima preview

Tommy Paul in action at the Canadian Open (Source: Getty)
Tommy Paul in action at the Canadian Open (Source: Getty)

The second round of the 2024 Canadian Open will feature an all-American clash between 10th-seeded Tommy Paul and Qualifier Brandon Nakashima. Paul is having a great 2024 season, as he has won two titles this year and has a record of 35-12. Paul won the titles at the Dallas Open and the Queen's Club Championships.

The World No. 12 also reached the quarter-finals of the Wimbledon and the Paris Olympics, losing to Carlos Alcaraz on both occasions. In other prominent events, Paul reached the semi-finals of the BNP Paribas Open and the Italian Open. The American player defeated Italy's Luciano Darderi in the first round at the Canadian Open.

Brandon Nakashima's 2024 season has been full of ups and downs, reflected by his season record of 14-13, with a semi-final appearance at the Stuttgart Open being the American's best performance this year. At the Canadian Open, Nakashima made it to the main draw after playing the Qualifiers.

After winning his two matches at the Qualifiers, Nakashima faced local favorite and former top 10 player Denis Shapovalov in the first round, winning the match 6-4, 7-5.


Tommy Paul vs Brandon Nakashima head-to-head

Nakashima has a 2-0 advantage in the head-to-head over Paul, having won their last match at the Lyon Open last year.


Tommy Paul vs Brandon Nakashima odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Tommy Paul-275-1.5 (-110)Over 22.5 (-125)
Brandon Nakashima+210+1.5 (-135)Under 22.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Tommy Paul vs Brandon Nakashima prediction

In his match against Luciano Darderi, Paul won 73 percent of his service points including nine aces. The American faced just three break points on his serve and he saved all of them. However, Paul made 23 unforced errors in just two sets, more than his 22 winners.

Nakashima won 74 percent of his first serve points against Shapovalov, with a 52 percent win ratio behind his second serve. The American played safe tennis as he hit just 10 winners in two sets, and had a 62 percent win near the nets. Nakashima also made five double faults during the match.

Both the players are dependent on their respective first serves, and therefore the result of the match might depend on which of them returns better. Even though Nakashima is ahead on the head-to-head, given the players' current form, Paul has an advantage and should win this match.

Pick- Paul to win in straight sets

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