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China Open 2024: Emma Navarro vs Zhang Shuai preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Emma Navarro vs (WC) Zhang Shuai

Date: September 27, 2024

Tournament: China Open 2024

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China

Category: WTA 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $8,955,610

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Emma Navarro vs Zhang Shuai preview

Emma Navarro at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Emma Navarro at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

After a first-round bye, sixth seed Emma Navarro will square off against Zhang Shuai in the second round of the China Open 2024.

Navarro claimed her maiden title on the WTA Tour at the Hobart International at the start of the season, and used that as a springboard to further success. She performed better and better with every subsequent Major this year. She reached the third round of the Australian Open, and then went a round further at the French Open.

Navarro ousted Coco Gauff en route to the Wimbledon quarterfinals. She got the better of her younger compatriot once again at the US Open, ending her title defense in the fourth round. She then lost to eventual champion Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinals.

The 23-year-old made her top-10 debut at No. 8 thanks to her run in New York. She also made the semifinals of the Canadian Open, and the quarterfinals of the Indian Wells Open, and the third round of the Paris Olympics.

Zhang was drawn against McCartney Kessler in the first round of the China Open. The home favorite rallied from a break down in the opening set and stopped her opponent from serving out the set to even the score. She then came out on top in the ensuing tie-break to take a one-set lead.

Every time Zhang put herself ahead in the second set, Kessler found a way to negate the lead. The former led by a break thrice, and even held a match point at 5-4 but the latter dug deep to keep herself alive. The set soon went to a tie-break, in which the Chinese outplayed her rival for a 7-6 (5), 7-6 (1) win.


Emma Navarro vs Zhang Shuai head-to-head

This will be the first meeting between them, so the head-to-head currently stands at 0-0.


Emma Navarro vs Zhang Shuai odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Emma Navarro
-2500
+1.5 (-10000)
Over 18.5 (+105)
Zhang Shuai
+950
-1.5 (+1450)
Under 18.5 (-150)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Emma Navarro vs Zhang Shuai prediction

Zhang Shuai at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Zhang Shuai at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Zhang's win over Kessler finally snapped her 24-match losing skid which started in January 2023. She set the record for the longest losing streak in the Open Era by either a male or female player. To win a match after such a long time, that too in front of her home crowd, must have been a huge moment for her.

Zhang didn't let the wasted match point get to her, and countered Kessler's serve quite well. Nevertheless, she'll need to up the ante against one of the season's most consistent players, Navarro.

The American has a 30-11 record on hardcourts this season. Zhang will need to play some inspired tennis to one-up Navarro. While she's capable of doing so, it's hard to imagine her doing so in her current form.

Pick: Emma Navarro to win in straight sets.

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