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Cincinnati Open 2024 SF: Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Frances Tiafoe vs (15) Holger Rune

Date: August 18, 2024

Tournament: Cincinnati Open 2024

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Center, Mason, Ohio, US

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $6,795,555

Live Telecast: US - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+


Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune preview

Frances Tiafoe (Source: Imagn)
Frances Tiafoe (Source: Imagn)

Unseeded Frances Tiafoe will face off against 15th seed Holger Rune in the semifinal of the 2024 Cincinnati Open on Sunday, August 18.

Tiafoe entered Cincinnati after an opening-round exit at the Canadian Open, where he lost to Alejandro Tabilo. Before that, he reached the semifinals of the Citi Open but was defeated by the eventual champion and fellow American Sebastian Korda.

In Cincinnati, Tiafoe kicked off his campaign with a hard-fought 6-3, 7-6(6) victory over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. He then secured a 6-3, 6-2 win against Lorenzo Musetti and a 6-4, 6-7(10), 7-6(5) triumph over Jiri Lehecka. The American advanced to the semifinals after receiving a walkover from Hubert Hurkacz, having won the first set 6-3.

Holger Rune (Source: Imagn)
Holger Rune (Source: Imagn)

Meanwhile, Rune entered the ATP Masters 1000 tournament following a third-round exit in Canada, where he lost to Alexander Zverev. Before that, he reached the quarterfinals at the German Open but had to give a walkover to Arthur Fils.

The Dane's campaign in Cincinnati began with a win over former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini, 2-6, 6-1, 6-4. He then defeated Nuno Borges 6-3, 7-6(8), Gael Monfils 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, and Jack Draper 6-4, 6-2 to secure his spot in the last four.


Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune head-to-head

Tiafoe and Rune have never faced each other on the ATP Tour before, so this match will mark their first meeting. Their head-to-head record currently stands at 0-0.


Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Frances Tiafoe+120+1.5 (-110)Over 23.5 (-110)
Holger Rune-150-1.5 (-130)Under 23.5 (-125)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM).


Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune prediction

Frances Tiafoe (Source: Imagn)
Frances Tiafoe (Source: Imagn)

The semifinal clash between Frances Tiafoe and Holger Rune at the 2024 Cincinnati Open on Sunday (August 18) promises to be thrilling.

Rune will enter the match as the favorite, thanks to his higher ranking and stronger performances in the tournament so far. However, his inconsistency makes the outcome unpredictable. If Rune is at his best, he should win, but any lapse in concentration could allow his opponent to capitalize.

Tiafoe has struggled with inconsistency this year as well and has yet to win a title despite multiple attempts. Although he has shown some improvement in Cincinnati compared to his mid-season form, he is still not at his peak. While it’s unlikely he will overcome the Dane, there is a slim chance if he can take advantage of any mistakes.

Pick: Holger Rune to win in three sets.


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