Indian Wells 2025: Frances Tiafoe vs Damir Dzumhur preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | BNP Paribas Open
Match Details
Fixture: (16) Frances Tiafoe vs (Q) Damir Dzumhur
Date: March 7, 2025
Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2025
Round: Second Round (Round of 64)
Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California, United States
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $9,693,540
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Frances Tiafoe vs Damir Dzumhur preview
16th seed Frances Tiafoe will square off against qualifier Damir Dzumhur in the second round of the BNP Paribas Open 2025.
Tiafoe has struggled to put his best foot forward so far this season. He hasn't won consecutive matches and hasn't advanced beyond the second round of any tournament. As one of the seeded players at Indian Wells, he received a first-round bye.
Dzumhur came through the qualifying rounds here courtesy of routine wins over Brandon Holt and Radu Albot. He took on former top 10 player Roberto Bautista Agut in the first round. The qualifier took control of the first set with a break of serve and maintained a tight leash on his advantage until the end to claim the set.
Bautista Agut wasted no time getting back on track and captured the second set for the loss of only one game. There was plenty of back and forth in the third set, with each player breaking the other's serve on three occasions. It all came down to the tie-break in the end, and Dzumhur outplayed his opponent to score a 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 (4) win.
Frances Tiafoe vs Damir Dzumhur head-to-head
This will be the first meeting between the two, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.
Frances Tiafoe vs Damir Dzumhur odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Frances Tiafoe vs Damir Dzumhur prediction
Dzumur had won 13 main draw matches at the ATP level between 2020 and 2024. He mostly thrived on the Challenger circuit during this period. By beating Bautista Agut in the first round here, he tallied his sixth win of the season. Half a decade later, he's making his presence felt on the ATP Tour again.
Tiafoe, meanwhile, has been in the middle of his slump. His streak of not winning back-to-back matches actually began following his semifinal showing at last year's US Open. Even Dzumhur registered consecutive victories in his previous tournament, the Chile Open.
Tiafoe has won at least one match in every tournament he has participated in this season. Dzumhur also has a 7-30 career record against top 20 players and has lost his last seven matches against them. His previous win against a top-20 player came way back in 2019.
Even though Tiafoe is struggling at the moment, he will be favored to beat Dzumhur. The latter's track record against top players means he will have to punch way above his weight to make a dent in this match-up.
Pick: Frances Tiafoe to win in three sets.