Madrid Open 2023: Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick
Fixture: (2) Aryna Sabalenka vs (WC) Camila Osorio
Date: April 29, 2023
Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open 2023
Round: Third Round (Round of 32)
Venue: Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain
Category: WTA 1000
Surface: Outdoor clay
Prize money: €7,652,174
Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Amazon Prime Video
Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio preview
Second seed Aryna Sabalenka will face off against Camila Osorio in the third round of the 2023 Madrid Open on Saturday.
After a first-round bye, Sabalenka took on Sorana Cirstea in the second round. The Belarusian led 2-0 in the opening set, but squandered her advantage as her opponent managed to level the score.
Sabalenka broke Cirstea's serve yet again in the ninth game to go 5-4 up. She faced some resistance while trying to close out the set, but managed to get the job done on her second set point.
The two battled hard in the second set, with Sabalenka securing a 4-2 lead. The reigning Australian Open champion broke Cirstea's serve towards the end once again to win the match 6-4, 6-3.
Meanwhile, following a win over qualifier Clara Burel in the first round, Marta Kostyuk awaited Osorio in the second round. The Colombian went toe-to-toe with her opponent in the first set, but got outplayed towards the end to lose it.
Osorio regrouped quickly and made a fast start in the second set to jump to 4-1. She then failed to serve out the set at 5-3, but broke Kostyuk's serve in the next game to clinch it.
An early break of serve put Osorio in the driver's seat as she led 3-0. Kostyuk did put up a fight, but was unable to recover from the early stumble. The Colombian soon went on to complete a 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 comeback win.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio head-to-head
Sabalenka leads Osorio 1-0 in the head-to-head. She won their previous encounter at the 2021 Wimbledon Championships in straight sets.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio prediction
Competing for the first time in over a month after an injury hiatus, Osorio is playing rather well. She earned a hard-fought comeback win in the previous round against Kostyuk.
Sabalenka avenged her Miami Open loss by defeating Cirstea this time around. She was quite resilient on the big points, which made all the difference. The Belarusian fired seven aces while winning 63% of her first-serve points. She also went 5/5 on break points.
Sabalenka will be the massive favorite heading into this contest. She's likely to dictate the proceedings with her powerful groundstrokes. Her serve is yet another asset in her arsenal.
Osorio is a fiesty player who fights until the very end. However, her defensive brand of tennis won't be enough to stop the rampaging Sabalenka from advancing further.
Pick: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.