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Madrid Open 2024: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (7) Andrey Rublev vs (27) Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Date: April 28, 2024

Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open

Round: Third Round (Round of 32)

Venue: La Caja Majica, Madrid, Spain

Category: Masters 1000

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €7,877,020

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview

Rublev at the 2024 Madrid Open.
Rublev at the 2024 Madrid Open.

World No. 8 Andrey Rublev faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the third round of the 2024 Madrid Open on Sunday.

After a first-round bye, Rublev took on Facundo Bagnis in the second round. The Russian breezed through the opening set, dropping just one game.

Bagnis played better in the second set, but it wasn't enough to stop Rublev, who nabbed the decisive break in the seventh game and held on for a 6-1, 6-4 victory. It marked his first win of the clay season, snapping a four-match losing streak.

Davidovich Fokina, meanwhile, received a bye into the second round as well, where he was up against Shang Juncheng. The Spaniard relinquished his lead twice in the first set as his opponent pegged him back immediately.

However, Davidovich Fokina got the job done, breaking Shang's serve in the final game of the set. The home favorite encountered some resistance in the second set but did a good job quelling it to secure a 7-5, 6-3 win.


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina head-to-head

Rublev leads Davidovich Fokina 3-0 in the head-to-head. He won their previous encounter at last year's Italian Open in straight sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Andrey Rublev
-225
+1.5 (-600)
Over 22.5 (-115)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
+170
-1.5 (+340)
Under 22.5 (-120)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the 2024 Monte-Carlo Masters.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the 2024 Monte-Carlo Masters.

Rublev finally resumed his winning ways with a victorious start in Madrid. He played at a pretty high level and struck 24 winners in contrast to 10 unforced errors.

Davidovich Fokina was tested by Shang from time to time in the previous round but downed his younger rival to advance further. The Spaniard hit 21 winners against 15 unforced errors.

Neither player has performed consistently well in Madrid as the two have a combined seven wins between them at the venue. A quarterfinal in 2022 was Rublev's best result, while Davidovich Fokina made the fourth round last year.

Rublev will feel pretty good about his chances against Davidovich Fokina. He has won all three of their previous matches, two of which were on clay. If his rough patch is truly behind him, the Russian shouldn't have a problem taking down his next opponent.

Pick: Andrey Rublev to win in straight sets

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