Madrid Open 2025: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, and pick
Fixture: Alexander Zverev (1) vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (28)
Date: April 27, 2025
Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
Round: Third Round (Round of 32)
Venue: Park Manzanares, Madrid, Spain
Category: ATP 1000
Surface: Clay
Prize Money: €8,055,385
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel / TC Plus | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview
Alexander Zverev will play No. 28 seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the third round of the Madrid Open. Zverev easily saw off the challenge of Roberto Batista Agut 6-2, 6-2 in the second round, while Davidovich Fokina had a similarly straightforward victory over Nuno Borges.
Zverev's season was stalling before last week's BMW Open. After losing to World No. 1 Jannik Sinner in Melbourne, the German had only managed quarterfinals in Rio and Argentina this year. His 6-2, 6-4 defeat of American Ben Shelton in the Munich final signaled a welcome return to some kind of form.
Zverev now has nine clay-court ATP titles under his belt. He reached last year's French Open final on the surface before Carlos Alcaraz outlasted him over five hotly contested sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, the World No. 30, is yet to win an ATP title on the tour. He has had a good start to the year, reaching the fourth round of the Australian Open, where he beat Jakub Mensik. He also made it to the finals in Delray Beach and the Mexican Open, and was beaten by Alcaraz in the semifinal in Monte Carlo.
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina head-to-head
Alexander Zverev and Davidovich Fokina have met five times on the ATP Tour. Zverev leads the head-to-head 4-1. They played on clay in the quarterfinal at Roland Garros in 2021, with Zverev winning comfortably 6-4, 6-1, 6-1.
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds
(All odds sourced from BetMGM)
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction
Alexander Zverev was the champion in Madrid in 2018 and 2021, and says the tournament is one of his favorites. Jannik Sinner returns from his ban next month, and Zverev is keen to close the gap to the World No. 1 spot. His confidence will be high after his win in Munich.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has struggled in Madrid since his first appearance in 2021 and has never been beyond the third round. He reached the quarterfinal at Roland Garros in 2021, where he was beaten by Zverev, and also made it to the last eight in Barcelona last week, before losing to Karen Khachanov.
25-year-old Davidovich Fokina can play on the dirt, but Alexander Zverev has a much better resume on the surface and is in impressive form. Look for the Spaniard to make life difficult for Zverev, but the German will prevail.
Pick: Alexander Zverev in three sets.