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Miami Open 2023: Holger Rune vs Diego Schwartzman preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (7) Holger Rune vs (31) Diego Schwartzman

Date: March 26, 2023

Tournament: Miami Open 2023

Round: Third round (Round of 32)

Venue: Miami Gardens, Florida, United States

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize money: $8,800,000

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel/TC Plus | UK - Amazon Prime Video


Holger Rune vs Diego Schwartzman preview

Rune at the 2023 BNP Paribas Open.
Rune at the 2023 BNP Paribas Open.

World No. 8 Holger Rune will lock horns with 31st seed Diego Schwartzman in the third round of the 2023 Miami Open on Sunday.

After a first-round bye, Rune took on Marton Fucsovics in the second round. The teenager secured an early lead to go 3-1 up in the opening set. He then broke his opponent's serve once again towards the end to capture the set.

Neither player got close to a break point for most of the second set and it looked like the set was headed to a tie-break. With Fucsovics serving to stay in the match at 6-5, Rune broke his serve to win the contest 6-3, 7-5.

Schwartzman, too, received a first-round bye and faced Yibing Wu in the second round. The Argentine trailed 4-2 in the first set, but managed to get back on serve. He had to save a couple of set points on his own serve to make it 5-5.

Schwartzman then came out on top in the ensuing tie-break to claim the opener. He dominated the second set, dropping just one game to win the match 7-6(1), 6-1.


Holger Rune vs Diego Schwartzman head-to-head

This will be the first meeting between them, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Holger Rune vs Diego Schwartzman odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap Bets
Total Games
Holger Rune
-550+1.5 (-1600)
Over 20.5 (-110)
Diego Schwartzman
+360-1.5 (+625)
Under 20.5 (-130)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Holger Rune vs Diego Schwartzman prediction

Diego Schwartzman at the 2023 BNP Paribas Open.
Diego Schwartzman at the 2023 BNP Paribas Open.

Schwartzman's second-round win over Wu was just his third of the year. The first set was a close affair and once he managed to secure that, it was smooth sailing for him.

Rune was tested a fair bit by Fucsovics, but managed to subdue his opponent with some fine tennis. The teenager blasted 24 winners while committing just eight unforced errors. He also won 81% of his first-serve points and didn't drop his serve even once.

Schwartzman has been in dire form all year, with quite a few tough losses. He'll need to step up his game considerably if he wants to challenge Rune. The Argentine's court coverage used to be a massive asset, but he's a step slower these days.

Schwartzman is also having trouble keeping up with big-hitters from the baseline these days. Rune will prove to be a tough nut to crack, considering he has been quite solid this season. The Danish youngster has the goods to outplay his older opponent in their upcoming Miami duel.

Pick: Holger Rune to win in straight sets.

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