French Open 2024 women's final odds: Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini marks most one-sided women's Grand Slam final in history
As anticipation builds for Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini's blockbuster title clash at the 2024 French Open, the World No. 1 has unsurprisingly emerged as the oddsmakers' leading choice to win a hat-trick of titles at the claycourt Major. However, the astronomical odds in Swiatek's favor mark the most lopsided women's Grand Slam final in history.
Swiatek commenced her Roland Garros campaign with a clinical 6-1, 6-2 win over Leolia Jeanjean. After a narrow escape against Naomi Osaka in the second round, the Pole displayed her characteristic dominance, beating Marie Bouzkova, Anastasia Potapova, and Marketa Vondrousova in straight sets.
The World No. 1 then breezed past Coco Gauff 6-2, 6-4 to reach her third consecutive French Open final. Jasmine Paolini booked her place against the two-time defending champion with a 6-3, 6-1 win over Mirra Andreeva.
After winning her maiden WTA 1000 title at the Dubai Tennis Championships this season, Paolini has reached new heights in her career by reaching her first Grand Slam final.
The 28-year-old triumphed over the likes of Daria Saville, Hailey Baptiste, Bianca Andreescu, and Elina Avanesyan before pulling off a stunning 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 upset over fourth seed Elena Rybakina in the quarterfinals.
Iga Swiatek enjoys a 2-0 lead in her head-to-head record against Paolini, claiming a 6-3, 6-0 victory in their most recent meeting in the first round of the 2022 US Open.
Given Swiatek's dominance at the French Open, her winning record against Jasmine Paolini, and the Italian's inexperience in Major finals, the four-time Grand Slam champion is the -1660 (1.06) favorite on the moneyline. Paolini, meanwhile, enters the contest as the underdog with +900 (10.0) odds of winning her maiden Major title.
According to analyst Juan Ignacio, the final between Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini represents the most one-sided women's Grand Slam final since the records began in 1990, as per SportsOddsHistory.com.
It has surpassed the 1997 US Open final, where eventual champion Martina Hingis enjoyed -800 (1.12) odds of beating Venus Williams.
"Checking via @SOHistory, tomorrow's is indeed the most lopsided women's Grand Slam final in history (since records exist, 1990)," Ignacio posted on X.
Comparatively, although Karolina Muchova's surprising journey to the 2023 French Open final resembled Jasmine Paolini's run, the Czech had +525 (6.25) odds of clinching the title against Iga Swiatek, who entered the title clash with -700 (1.14) odds.
French Open 2024 final: Iga Swiatek on the hunt for fifth Grand Slam title; Jasmine Paolini seeks maiden Major crown
The stakes are high as Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini gear up to contest the 2024 French Open final. Swiatek enters the clash as the two-time defending champion. She is looking for her fourth crown at Roland Garros.
Moreover, the Pole is aiming to break her tie with fellow four-time Grand Slam champion Naomi Osaka and become the player with the most Major titles under 30.
Paolini, meanwhile, has the chance to win her maiden Major title and make history as the first Italian women's Grand Slam champion since Flavia Pennetta's triumph at the 2015 US Open.