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Paris Masters 2024: Frances Tiafoe vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (14) Frances Tiafoe vs (WC) Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Date: October 29, 2024

Tournament: Paris Masters 2024

Round: First Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: €5,950,575

Live Telecast: US - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Frances Tiafoe vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard preview

Frances Tiafoe at the Cincinnati Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Frances Tiafoe at the Cincinnati Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

14th seed Frances Tiafoe will take on home favorite Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round of the Paris Masters 2024.

The first few months of the year were quite tough for Tiafoe, with a runner-up finish in Houston, and a semifinal at Delray Beach being his best results. He didn't have the best time in Europe during the clay and grass swing, with frequent early exits. He showed signs of a resurgence at the Citi Open, where he made the last four.

However, Tiafoe then crashed out of the Canadian Open in the first round. He bounced back with a runner-up finish at the Cincinnati Open, his best result of the season. He continued his good run of form with a semifinal showing at the US Open. The American has failed to win back-to-back matches in his next four tournaments since then.

Mpetshi Perricard's breakthrough season has seen him crack the top 50 of the rankings, peaking at No. 44 so far. He claimed his maiden ATP title at the Lyon Open, and advanced to the fourth round at Wimbledon, his best result at a Major. He failed to build upon his run there and won only one of his next five matches.

Mpetshi Perricard snapped a four-match losing streak to reach the semifinals of the Swiss Indoors in Basel. He beat James Duckworth in his opener, two-time defending champion Felix Auger-Aliassime in the second round, and Denis Shapovalov in the last eight. He will take on Holger Rune for a place in the final on Saturday (October 26).


Frances Tiafoe vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head currently stands at 0-0.


Frances Tiafoe vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Frances Tiafoe
-175
+1.5 (-450)
Over 24.5 (-135)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
+135
-1.5 (+275)
Under 24.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Frances Tiafoe vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Tiafoe's form has taken a hit whenever he has left the US this year. He has recorded 21 of his 33 wins this season in his home country. He has won back-to-back matches only once outside of the US, during his third-round finish at Wimbledon.

Mpetshi Perricard's strong showing in Basel, where he has a shot to reach his second final, makes him the favorite against Tiafoe. His huge serve is a menace for his opponents. He has fired at least 20 aces in all of his matches in Basel so far and won around 80 percent of his first-serve points on average.

Mpetshi Perricard also has the home-court advantage here. While he failed to make an impression at the French Open this year, he would be keen to make up for it with a winning debut at the Paris Masters.

Pick: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win in three sets.

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