Paris Masters 2024: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino preview, head-to-head, prediction and pick
Match Details
Fixture: (11) Tommy Paul vs (WC) Adrian Mannarino
Date: 28 October, 2024
Tournament: Paris Masters 2024
Round: First-round (Round of 64)
Venue: AccorHotels Arena, Paris, France
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Hard-court (Indoor)
Prize Money: €5,950,575
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino preview
11th seed Tommy Paul is slated to begin his 2024 Paris Masters campaign against local wildcard Adrian Mannarino in the first round, with the winner set to face either Flavio Cobolli or Richard Gasquet in the second round.
Paul’s 2024 season began with a quarterfinal run in Adelaide, followed by a third-round finish at the Australian Open. He captured his first title of the year in Dallas and reached a second straight final at Delray Beach, where he went down to Taylor Fritz. He reached the semifinals at Indian Wells where he lost to Daniil Medvedev.
Paul's claycourt swing was highlighted by a last-four finish in Rome. He picked up the biggest title of his career at the Queen's Club, brushing aside Musetti in the final. He then reached the last eight at Wimbledon where he lost to eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz. His North American and Asian hardcourt swing didn't go to plan as he has compiled a modest 7-5 record.
Paul captured his third title of the season in Stockholm, beating Grigor Dimitrov in the title decider. He last featured at the Erste Bank Open in Vienna where he suffered a disappointing defeat in his opener to compatriot Brandon Nakashima.
Mannarino, meanwhile, started the year terrifically, reaching the fourth round of the Australian Open and the semifinals in Dallas, but struggled for consistency afterward. He returned to form in Chengdu with a quarterfinal finish, losing to Musetti.
Mannarino last featured at the Swiss Indoors where he exited in the first round to home favorite Stan Wawrinka.
Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino head-to-head
Tommy Paul holds a 1-0 lead over Adrian Mannarino in their head-to-head matchups, having won their only previous encounter 6-2, 6-4, 6-1 at the 2022 Wimbledon Championships.
Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino odds
(Odds to be added once available)
Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino prediction
Tommy Paul enters the Paris Masters with an impressive 45-18 record for the season, excelling particularly on hardcourts with a 25-11 record. His form indoors has been even stronger, with an 8-1 record along with a title recently in Stockholm.
Adrian Mannarino, in contrast, has had a challenging season, posting a 13-29 record, including 12-19 on hardcourts and 3-3 indoors. Aside from strong showings in Melbourne early in the year and in Chengdu, Mannarino has struggled to string together two or more consecutive wins anywhere else.
Paul is the clear favorite heading into their matchup, buoyed by his stellar indoor form and motivated by an outside chance to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals, making this an important contest as he aims to close out the season on a high note.
Pick: Paul in straight sets.