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Paris Olympics 2024: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (13) Felix Auger-Aliassime vs (11) Lorenzo Musetti

Date: August 3, 2024

Tournament: Paris Olympics 2024

Round: Bronze Medal Match

Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France

Category: Olympics

Surface: Clay

Live Telecast: USA - NBC, Peacock | UK - Eurosport, Discovery+, BBC iPlayer | Canada - CBC Gem, Radio Canada, Tou.tv | India - JioCinema, Sports18


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti preview

Tennis - Olympic Games Paris 2024: Day 7 - Source: Getty
Tennis - Olympic Games Paris 2024: Day 7 - Source: Getty

The 2024 Paris Olympics will see 11th-seeded Italian Lorenzo Musetti taking on 13th-seeded Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in the bronze medal match. Both players mounted great campaigns at the Olympics, that came to an end in the semi-finals.

Auger-Aliassime has had a moderate season in 2024, with a 25-17 record and reaching the final of the Madrid Open being the highlight for the Canadian. At the Olympics, Aliassime showed great form as he defeated the likes of Marcos Giron, Maximilian Marterer, and fourth seed Daniil Medvedev.

In the quarter-final, Aliasiine notched up another impressive victory over two-time French Open runner-up Casper Ruud in an intense three-set battle. However, Auger-Aliassime's campaign came to an end at the hands of Carlos Alcaraz who blew him 6-1, 6-1 in the semi-final.

Lorenzo Musetti has a 30-20 record in 2024, with the Italian being in terrific form in recent weeks. Musetti reached two semi-finals, and two finals in the last four events that he has played, including a semi-final at this year's Wimbledon. At the Paris Olympics, Musetti did not drip a set till he reached the semi-final. He defeated Gael Monfils, and Mariano Navone in the first two rounds.

The Italian then defeated seventh seed Taylor Fritz in the third round, and then won against third seed and defending Olympic champion Alexander Zverev in the quarter-final in straight sets. However, the inspired campaign was put to a stop by the top seed Novak Djokovic who defeated Musetti in straight sets in the semi-final.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti head-to-head

Aliassime leads 3-2 in the head-to-head against Musetti. The Canadian won the last encounter at the semi-final of the Davis Cup in 2022.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Lorenzo Musetti-135-1.5 (+165)Over 22.5 (-115)
Felix Auger-Aliassime+105+1.5 (-250)Under 22.5 (-115)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction

In his quarter-final match against Ruud, Aliassime hit 14 aces and won 82 percent of his points behind his first serve. The Canadian hit an astounding 38 winners in three sets to completely overpower his opponent. However, Aliassime's returning numbers were not good, as he won only 35 percent of the total return points in the match.

Musetti, in his quarter-final against Zverev, won more than 80% of points behind his first serve. The Italian countered Zverev's service games by attacking the German's second serve, winning 56 percent of the points on that front. Musetti mostly played from the baseline, as he came to the net only 9 times.

Both players have been in great serving form, so the match might be decided by who returns better. Also, Aliassime played his mixed doubles match and will need to recover quickly. Given the recovery factor, and the current form Musetti will have the advantage in the game.

Pick- Musetti to win in straight sets.

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