Paris Masters 2021: Men's singles draw analysis, preview & prediction
The ATP tour heads to France for the 2021 Paris Masters, which is the last Masters 1000 event on the calendar. Five-time champion Novak Djokovic is back in action for the first time since the US Open and is the top seed in Paris.
Defending champion Daniil Medvedev is seeded second with Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev, Casper Ruud, Hubert Hurkacz, and Jannik Sinner completing the top eight seeds. Former champions Andy Murray and Karen Khachanov also feature in the draw.
ATP1000 Paris Bercy singles draw https://t.co/55o7vGSL7c
With action set to begin on Monday, let's take a look at how the draw could unfold.
First quarter: Andrey Rublev, Cameron Norrie will look to halt the Novak Djokovic charge
Top-seeded players: [1] Novak Djokovic, [5] Andrey Rublev, [10] Cameron Norrie and [15] Gael Monfils
Expected quarterfinal: Novak Djokovic vs Andrey Rublev
Dark horse: Taylor Fritz
Analysis: Novak Djokovic will been seen in action for the first time since the US Open, where he was defeated by Daniil Medvedev in the final. Even though the Serb has not played any tennis in recent weeks, he remains one of the favorites for the title in Paris.
Djokovic has received a bye in the first round and has been drawn to face Marton Fucsovics or Fabio Fognini in the second round. The Serb owns a combined 11-0 head-to-head advantage against the two players, meaning he should not be tested too much in his opener.
Meanwhile, Adrian Mannarino and Gael Monfils could meet in the second round. However, Mannarino will first have to get past Nikoloz Basilashvili, while Monfils faces a qualifier in his opener.
One of the aforementioned trio is slated to meet Novak Djokovic in the third round. Once again, the Serb should not have much trouble progressing, considering he owns a mammoth 23-0 head-to-head advantage against them.
Indian Wells champion Cameron Norrie opens his campaign against Federico Delbonis. The Brit could then lock horns with Reilly Opelka or Filip Krajinovic in the second round.
The matchup between Krajinovic and Opelka is an interesting one, given both players have the weapons to excel indoors. However, Opelka is currently on a three-match losing streak and will need to summon his best tennis to get past the 2017 Paris runner-up.
Lorenzo Sonego and Taylor Fritz are also in this section of the draw and will cross swords in the first round. Fritz has been in great touch in recent weeks and owns a 100% record against the Italian on hardcourts.
The winner of that match is projected to face fifth seed Andrey Rublev in the second round; the Russian has received a bye in the first round.
Rublev is Djokovic's projected opponent in the quarterfinals, but he is by no means a lock to make the last-eight considering his recent form.
Predicted quarterfinal: Novak Djokovic def. Cameron Norrie
Second Quarter: Stefanos Tsitsipas' quest for first Paris Masters title littered with obstacles
Top-seeded players: [3] Stefanos Tsitsipas, [7] Hubert Hurkacz, [9] Felix Auger-Aliassime and [14] Roberto Bautista Agut
Expected quarterfinal: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Hubert Hurkacz
Dark horse: Andy Murray
Analysis: Stefanos Tsitsipas will look to put his disappointing campaigns at Indian Wells and Vienna behind him when he takes the court in Paris-Bercy. The Greek has received a bye in the opening round and will face either Lloyd Harris or Alex de Minaur in the second round.
While Tsitsipas owns a resounding 6-0 head-to-head advantage against the Aussie, he has never faced Harris before.
If Harris manages to get past De Minaur, he could prove to be a handful for Tsitsipas, as his game is tailor-made for indoor conditions.
Welcome in Paris @steftsitsipas!
#RolexParisMasters https://t.co/CEhWHJtDff
Elsewhere, Roberto Bautista Agut begins his Paris Masters campaign against James Duckworth.
Interestingly, no other first-round matches in this quarter have been set in stone. Jan-Lennard Struff, Andy Murray, Laslo Djere, and Felix Auger-Aliassime have all been drawn to face qualifiers.
Hubert Hurkacz, meanwhile, has received a bye in the first round thanks to his top-eight seeding.
Predicted quarterfinal: Hubert Hurkacz def. Stefanos Tsitsipas
Third Quarter: Can Alexander Zverev continue his fine run of form
Top-seeded players: [4] Alexander Zverev, [6] Casper Ruud, [11] Diego Schwartzman and [16] Grigor Dimitrov
Expected quarterfinal: Alexander Zverev vs Casper Ruud
Dark horse: Karen Khachanov
Analysis: 2020 runner-up Alexander Zverev has received a bye in the first round and will open his campaign against Dusan Lajovic or Mackenzie McDonald in the second round.
Neither Lajovic nor McDonald has managed to win more than one match at an event in the last couple of months. They are unlikely to pose much of a threat to Zverev, who is in the final of the Vienna Open at the time of writing.
Zverev could face either Grigor Dimitrov or Karen Khachanov in the third round, in what could be his first big test.
Dimitrov opens his campaign against Richard Gasquet, while 2018 champion Khachanov has been drawn to face a qualifier first up.
Elsewhere, the in-form Diego Schwartzman will face the resilient John Millman, with the winner set to take on Frances Tiafoe or a qualifier in the second round.
Alexander Bublik, meanwhile, opens his campaign against Dan Evans. This will be their second meeting in approximately three months after Bublik got the better of the Brit at the Toronto Masters.
The winner of the Bublik-Evans clash will take on sixth seed Casper Ruud in the second round.
Predicted quarterfinal: Alexander Zverev def. Frances Tiafoe
Fourth Quarter: Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner on a collision course
Top-seeded players: [2] Daniil Medvedev, [8] Jannik Sinner, [12] Pablo Carreno Busta and [13] Aslan Karatsev
Expected quarterfinal: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner
Dark horse: Carlos Alcaraz
Analysis: Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner have been placed in one of the more straightforward sections of the draw.
Sinner and Medvedev have both received opening-round byes. Medvedev has been drawn to face Ilya Ivashka or Albert Ramos-Vinolas in the second round, while Sinner could face the red-hot Carlos Alcaraz in his opener.
Alcaraz opens his 2021 Paris Masters campaign against wildcard Pierre Hugues-Herbert in the first round.
Home-favorite Benoit Paire opens his campaign against 12th seed Pablo Carreno Busta. Paire owns an 8-4 head-to-head advantage against Carreno Busta and even managed to register five consecutive victories against the Spaniard between 2018-19.
Talented American Sebastian Korda faces Aslan Karatsev in the first round. Korda handed Karatsev a 6-3, 6-0 beatdown in Miami this year, but the Russian has rediscovered some of his early-season form and recently lifted the Kremlin Cup.
2016 Paris Masters semifinalist Marin Cilic opens his campaign against Spaniard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Predicted quarterfinal: Daniil Medvedev def. Jannik Sinner
Semifinal predictions
Novak Djokovic def. Hubert Hurkacz
Daniil Medvedev def. Alexander Zverev
Predicted champion
Daniil Medvedev