hero-image

Shanghai Masters 2024: Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (12) Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini

Date: October 5, 2024

Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai, China

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $8,995,555

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini preview

Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Twelfth seed Holger Rune will square off against former top 10 player Matteo Berrettini in the second round of the Shanghai Masters 2024.

Despite a 36-20 record this year, Rune has been inconsistent with his results. He started the season with a runner-up finish at the Brisbane International and then oscillated between a deep run and an early exit over the next two months.

Rune showed promise at the start of the clay swing with a quarterfinal finish at the Monte-Carlo Masters. However, he made earlier-than-expected exits from the Madrid Open and the Italian Open and wrapped up his time on the red dirt with a fourth-round finish at the French Open.

The Dane also reached the fourth round at Wimbledon. A semifinal showing at the Cincinnati Open didn't translate into a respectable result at the US Open, where he crashed out in the first round. He fell at the first hurdle at the Hangzhou Open as well, though he progressed to the semifinals of the Japan Open. He received a bye into the second round here.

Berrettini faced Christopher O'Connell in his opener here. Both sets played out similarly, with the Italian sneaking past his opponent in two tie-breaks to register a 7-6 (9), 7-6 (6) win.


Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini head-to-head

Rune leads Berrettini 3-1 in the head-to-head. The Dane won their previous encounter at this year's Cincinnati Open in three sets.


Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Holger Rune-135
+1.5 (-350)
Over 24.5 (-120)
Matteo Berrettini
-105
-1.5 (+220)
Under 24.5 (-120)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini prediction

Matteo Berrettini at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Matteo Berrettini at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Berrettini won 75 percent of his first serve points against O'Connell and hit an equal number of winners and unforced errors, 33. He will aim to secure his first win over Rune since the Indian Wells Masters 2022.

While Rune has tallied three wins over the Italian since then, the latter wasn't at his best physically in two of them and even retired from one of their matches. However, the 21-year-old staged an impressive comeback to emerge victorious in their recent tussle in Cincinnati.

Rune neutralized Berrettini's biggest asset, his serve, back then, and will need to do the same again. His semifinal showing in Tokyo indicated that he's slowly inching back to his best after a couple of disappointing results.

Furthermore, Berrettini has lost both his matches against the top 20 players on hardcourts this year. He will need to up his game if he wishes for a different outcome this time. Rune, meanwhile, has gone 34-12 against players ranked outside the top 20. Based on his record, he has a better shot to one-up the Italian again.

Pick: Holger Rune to win in three sets.

You may also like