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Shanghai Masters 2024: Stan Wawrinka vs Flavio Cobolli preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (WC) Stan Wawrinka vs (28) Flavio Cobolli

Date: October 5, 2024

Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai, China

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $8,995,555

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Stan Wawrinka vs Flavio Cobolli preview

Stan Wawrinka at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Stan Wawrinka at Wimbledon 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Three-time Major champion Stan Wawrinka will take on 28th seed Flavio Cobolli in the second round of the Shanghai Masters 2024.

Wawrinka was up against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round. Both players had break chances in each of the two sets, though neither capitalized on them. The Swiss pipped his younger challenger in the eventual tie-breaks to register a 7-6 (2), 7-6 (6) win.

Cobolli had six main draw wins to his name before this year and has compiled a 33-25 record this season. He reached his maiden career final at the Citi Open in July and lost to Sebastian Korda in three sets.

Cobolli also reached the third round of the Australian Open, the US Open, the Madrid Open, and the Cincinnati Open. He rose to a career-high ranking of No. 30 earlier this week.

The young Italian commenced his Asian swing at the China Open in Beijing. He advanced to the quarterfinals with wins over Alexander Bublik and Pavel Kotov, before losing to Daniil Medvedev in straight sets. He received a bye into the second round of the Shanghai Masters as a seeded player.


Stan Wawrinka vs Flavio Cobolli head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between the two, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Stan Wawrinka vs Flavio Cobolli odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Stan Wawrinka
+170
-1.5 (+340)
Over 22.5 (-130)
Flavio Cobolli
-225
+1.5 (-650)
Under 22.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Stan Wawrinka vs Flavio Cobolli prediction

Flavio Cobolli at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Flavio Cobolli at the Davis Cup 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Wawrinka's win over Mpetshi Perricard was his sixth of the season, and his first on hardcourts. He won 90 percent of his first serve points and struck 35 winners, of which 13 were aces, and hit 24 unforced errors.

After taking down one rising young player, Wawrinka will aim to do the same against Cobolli. However, the Italian has posted much better results than Mpetshi Perricard this year, so the veteran could find it tough to do so.

Cobolli has a 5-2 record against players ranked outside the top 100 this season, and hasn't lost to them on hardcourts. Wawrinka, currently ranked 236th, has struggled to get going this year. He's not able to consistently dictate the play from the back of the court, and his serve isn't that reliable either.

Of the 13 hardcourt tournaments Cobolli has participated in this year so far, he has won at least one match in 12 of them. He has been quite consistent in the early rounds at the very least, and will be backed to get the better of Wawrinka to make a winning debut at the Shanghai Masters.

Pick: Flavio Cobolli to win in straight sets.

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