Shanghai Masters 2024: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Tabilo preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick
Match Details
Fixture: (11) Tommy Paul vs (19) Alejandro Tabilo
Date: October 6, 2024
Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024
Round: Third Round (Round of 32)
Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena in Shanghai, China
Category: ATP 1000
Surface: Hard (Outdoor)
Prize Money: $8,800,000
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | Canada - TSN
Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Tabilo preview
The third round of the 2024 Shanghai Masters is set to feature a clash between the USA's 11th-seeded Tommy Paul and 19th-seeded Chilean Alejandro Tabilo.
2024 has been a good season for the American player as he has won 40 of the 56 matches he has played in. A hard-court title at the Dallas Open and a grass-court title at the Queen's Club Championships have been his accomplishments this season. The last event that Paul participated in was the Japan Open, where he lost to Tomas Machac in the second round, 6-2, 3-6, 6-7(4).
Overall, the former World No. 12 has had a good outing on hard courts this season, winning the title in Dallas, reaching the final of the Delray Beach Open, and having a decent run at the US Open, where he lost to top seed Jannik Sinner 6-7(3), 6-7(5), 1-6 in the fourth round. Being one of the higher seeds, Paul received an opening round bye at the Shanghai Masters, following which he defeated Fabio Fognini 6-1, 6-3 in the second round.
Meanwhile, with a 29-23 record and two titles, Tabilo has one of his best seasons on the Tour in 2024. He has reached finals across all three surfaces this year, winning the ASB Classic (hard), and the Mallorca Championships (grass). He also reached the final of the Chile Open (clay), losing to Sebastian Baez 6-3, 0-6, 4-6.
Tabilo entered the Shanghai Masters after an eight-match losing streak, which started with his third-round loss against Sinner in the third round of the Canadian Open. However, after a first-round bye, the Chilean defeated Arthur Rinderknech 6-3, 6-2 in the second round.
Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Tabilo head-to-head
Paul has a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head against Tabilo having won their only encounter in the Round of 16 at this year's Queen Club Championships, 6-3, 6-4.
Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Tabilo odds
(Odds will be updated once available)
Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction
In their only match against each other in London, Paul had a 68 percent success rate on his service, winning 86 percent of his first-serve points. Their second-serve points percentage was one of the key determinants of the match as the American won 76 percent of his, while the Chilean could only win 41 percent.
On the return wing, Paul could generate 10 break-point opportunities as he could find an opening within his opponent's second serve. The American could only convert two of those 10 points, but that proved enough.
Given that Tabilo has just snapped a long losing streak, and Paul has been in good shape on hard courts, the 11th-seed will be the favorite to win the match.
Pick: Tommy Paul to win in straight sets