Shanghai Masters 2024 Final: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick
Match Details
Fixture: (1) Jannik Sinner vs (4) Novak Djokovic
Date: 13 October, 2024
Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024
Round: Final
Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai, China
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Surface: Hard-court (Outdoor)
Prize Money: $8,995,555
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN | India - Sony
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic preview
Top seed Jannik Sinner will lock horns with fourth seed Novak Djokovic in a titanic tussle for the 2024 Shanghai Masters crown on Sunday, October 13.
Sinner began his Shanghai campaign with a dominant 6-1, 6-4 win over Taro Daniel in the second round, following a first-round bye. He faced a tougher challenge in the next round against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, rallying from a set down to secure a hard-fought 6-7(3), 6-4, 6-2 victory.
In the fourth round, Sinner overcame Ben Shelton 6-4, 7-6(1) before cruising past Daniil Medvedev 6-1, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. He then delivered another strong performance in the semifinals, defeating surprise contender Tomas Machac 6-4, 7-5.
Djokovic, meanwhile, began his Shanghai campaign in impressive fashion, overcoming a strong challenge from Alex Michelsen with a 7-6(3), 7-6(9) victory. He followed it up with a commanding 6-1, 6-2 win over Flavio Cobolli, before delivering another stellar performance to defeat Roman Safiullin 6-3, 6-2.
Djokovic faced his first real test in the quarterfinals, rallying from a set down to beat Jakub Mensik 6-7(4), 6-1, 6-4 in front of a packed crowd. He then showcased his experience in the semifinals, securing a hard-fought 6-4, 7-6(6) win over Taylor Fritz in challenging conditions.
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic head-to-head
Novak Djokovic holds a 4-3 edge over Jannik Sinner in their head-to-head matchups, but it was the Italian who claimed victory in their last meeting at the Australian Open earlier this year. Sinner also leads their hardcourt encounters 3-1.
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic odds
(Odds will be added when available)
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic prediction
Jannik Sinner has been in scintillating form this week in Shanghai, apart from a minor hiccup in the third round. In his previous match, he excelled on serve, winning 74% of points behind his first serve and firing 10 aces. Aggressive in his shot-making, Sinner struck 28 winners while committing only 7 unforced errors and was equally sharp at the net.
Novak Djokovic has also returned to top form in Shanghai, once again looking like the player to beat. In his last match, he continued to serve well, winning 74% of his first-serve points, hitting 7 aces, and avoiding any service breaks. He tallied 28 winners against 17 unforced errors and was successful at the net, winning 70% of his points.
Despite Djokovic’s superior record in Shanghai, Sinner enters this clash as the favorite, having been a standout on hard courts this year. His dominance in Masters events and overall win ratio make him a formidable opponent. While the matchup promises to be a thriller, Sinner should have the edge if he maintains his current form. Djokovic's chances could also be affected by a minor back issue heading into the final.
Pick: Sinner in three sets.