hero-image

Six Kings Slam 2024: Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz

Date: October 17, 2024

Tournament: Six Kings Slam 2024

Round: Semifinal

Venue: The Venue, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Category: Exhibition

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $6,000,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel, T2 | UK - Sky Sports | Global - DAZN


Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz preview

Rafael Nadal at the Paris Olympics 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Rafael Nadal at the Paris Olympics 2024. (Photo: Getty)

Compatriots Rafael Nadal and Carlos Alcaraz will lock horns in the semifinals of the Six Kings Slam on Thursday (October 17).

Nadal returned after a nearly year-long hiatus in Brisbane at the start of the season. He picked up another injury during his quarterfinal loss to Jordan Thompson and didn't resume playing until the start of the clay swing.

A fourth-round finish at the Madrid Open was Nadal's best result in the lead-up to the French Open. He crashed out of the claycourt Major in the opening round, his earliest exit from the tournament he had won 14 times. The Spaniard then skipped Wimbledon and reached the final of the Swedish Open after that.

Nadal's singles campaign at the Paris Olympics came to an end in the second round with a loss to Novak Djokovic. He made the quarterfinals in doubles alongside Alcaraz. He didn't compete anywhere after the conclusion of the Olympics and recently announced his retirement at the end of the season.

Alcaraz advanced to the quarterfinals of the Australian Open for the first time this year and later defended his Indian Wells title. Even though he struggled with an injury during the clay swing, he emerged victorious at the French Open.

The young Spaniard also defended his Wimbledon crown and won the silver medal at the Olympics. He had a forgettable outing in North America and lost in the second round of the Cincinnati Open and the US Open.

Alcaraz bounced back immediately and went on a 12-match winning streak, which included a title at the China Open. His unbeaten run came to an end in the quarterfinals of the Shanghai Masters with a defeat to Tomas Machac. He beat Holger Rune 6-4, 6-2 in the previous round of the Six Kings Slam.


Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz head-to-head

Nadal leads Alcaraz 2-1 in the head-to-head. The latter won their most recent encounter at the Madrid Open 2022 in three sets.


Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Rafael Nadal
-850
+1.5 (-2500)
Over 21.5 (-104)
Carlos Alcaraz
+480
-1.5 (+685)
Under 21.5 (-135)

(Odds are sourced from OddsPortal)


Rafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Carlos Alcaraz at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz at the China Open 2024. (Photo: Getty)

The Six Kings Slam will be Nadal's penultimate tournament before he retires from the court at next month's Davis Cup Finals. He has a 12-7 record this year, though only two of those wins have come on hard courts.

Alcaraz, on the other hand, has a 51-10 record this year, including four titles, of which two have come on hard courts. He also has a 26-5 record on the surface and didn't break a sweat against Rune in his opener here as well.

While Nadal leads their rivalry, Alcaraz won their previous match in Madrid two years ago. However, their most recent encounter was also at another exhibition event this year, the Netflix Slam, which went the latter's way. Given their results, the 21-year-old has the clear advantage this time as well.

Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

You may also like