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Basel 2024: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | Swiss Indoors

Match Details

Fixture: (8) Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez

Date: 22 October, 2024

Tournament: Swiss Indoors 2024

Round: First-round (Round of 32)

Venue: St. Jakobshalle, Basel, Switzerland

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard-court (Indoor)

Prize Money: €2,385,100

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez preview

Auger-Aliassime in action at the 2024 National Bank Open (Picture: Getty)
Auger-Aliassime in action at the 2024 National Bank Open (Picture: Getty)

Eighth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to begin his 2024 Swiss Indoors campaign in a tantalizing first-round clash against World No. 27 Sebastian Baez on Tuesday, October 22.

Auger-Aliassime enters Basel with a 30-23 match record this year, highlighted by his first Masters 1000 final appearance in Madrid, where he fell to Andrey Rublev. Other notable performances include a semifinal run in Montpellier and reaching the fourth round at the French Open.

He's struggled with consistency since the North American hard-court swing, however, failing to string together more than two consecutive wins. His most recent outing was at the European Open, where he defeated Marton Fucsovics but lost to eventual champion Roberto Bautista Agut in the quarterfinals, despite winning the first set.

Baez, meanwhile, boasts a 31-24 match record for the season, along with two titles. His biggest triumph came at the ATP 500 event in Rio de Janeiro, where he beat compatriot Mariano Navone for the crown. He also won the title in Chile, defeating local favorite Alejandro Tabilo.

Baez has, however, struggled on hard courts in the latter half of the season, failing to secure a win in his last two tournaments in Shanghai and Antwerp, where he lost to Gael Monfils and Zizou Bergs, respectively.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez head-to-head

Auger-Aliassime edges Baez 1-0 in their head-to-head match-up, winning their only encounter 6-3, 6-3 in the Davis Cup earlier this year.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Felix Auger-Aliassime-750+1.5 (-3000)Over 20.5 (-105)
Sebastian Baez+475-1.5 (+725)Under 20.5 (-140)

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Baez prediction

Sebastian Baez in action for Argentina at the 2024 Paris Olympics (Picture: Getty)
Sebastian Baez in action for Argentina at the 2024 Paris Olympics (Picture: Getty)

Auger-Aliassime has struggled for consistency throughout the season, particularly on hard courts. Aside from a few deep runs, he's been unable to string together more than two consecutive wins. His recent form leading up to the Swiss Indoors has been concerning, with a 3-6 record during the second half of the hard-court season.

Baez, like Auger-Aliassime, has also faced difficulties on hard courts, with most of his success coming on clay. His best hard-court result this year was a third-round finish at the Australian Open. Since the start of the North American hard-court swing, Baez has posted a 2-5 record.

Auger-Aliassime recently defeated Baez on indoor hard courts during their Davis Cup clash, which should boost his confidence heading into this encounter. With a slightly better hard-court record this season, Auger-Aliassime will likely be favored to advance in their upcoming match.

Pick: Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets.

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