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Swiss Indoors 2024: Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (4) Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Date: October 26, 2024

Tournament: Basel Open 2024

Round: Semifinal

Venue: St. Jakobshalle, Basel, Switzerland

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard-court (Indoor)

Prize Money: €2,385,100

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard preview

Holger Rune (Getty)
Holger Rune (Getty)

Fourth-seeded Holger Rune and rising French player Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will face off in the semifinal of the 2024 Swiss Indoors on Saturday, October 26. The Danish player has been in decent form this year, with a 41-21 record but has yet to win a title. From a results perspective, Rune had his best showing at the Brisbane International, where he lost 6-7(5), 4-6 to Grigor Dimitrov in the final.

Apart from that final in Australia, the World No. 14 has reached five other semifinals in 2024 in Montpellier (hard), Acapulco (hard), Munich (clay), Cincinnati (hard), and Tokyo (hard). In Basel, Rune began his campaign with a 6-4, 7-6(3) win over Nicolas Jarry in the first round. Then he won 6-3, 7-6(2) against Swiss wildcard opponent Dominic Stricker in the second round. In the quarterfinal, he registered a dominant 6-2, 6-4 win over lucky loser David Goffin.

Winning a maiden ATP title in Lyon has been the crowning moment for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in what has been a season of firsts for him. The 21-year-old Frenchman also reached the fourth round of Wimbledon as a lucky loser. However, he entered the tournament in Basel on the back of a 2-7 record since the grasscourt Major and a four-match losing streak.

The Frenchman hit the ground running in Basel, with a 7-6(4), 6-3 win over Australian opponent James Duckworth in the opening round. He then dispatched defending champion and eighth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in straight sets, winning 6-1, 7-6(8). In a closely contested match in the quarterfinal, he won 6-7(9), 6-3, 7-6(3) against Denis Shapovalov.


Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard head-to-head

This will be the first meeting between the two players and hence the head-to-head stands at 0-0.


Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Holger Rune-350-1.5 (-120)Over 23.5 (-115)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard+240+1.5 (-120)Under 23.5 (-125)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction

Holger Rune has reached five hardcourt finals in his career, winning two titles. The Dane had his biggest accomplishment on the Tour on the surface when he won 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 against Novak Djokovic to clinch the title at the 2022 Paris Masters. He has been to the final in Basel in 2022, losing 3-6, 5-7 to Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Perricard's win percentage on hard courts is a mere 36 percent, which is the worst for the Frenchman across the three surfaces. However, he is just starting his career and the sample size of matches is small.

Given that he is the higher-ranked player and a past runner-up in Basel, Rune will be the favorite to win the upcoming match to reach his second final of the season.

Pick- Rune to win in straight sets.

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