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US Open 2024: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (2) Aryna Sabalenka vs (29) Ekaterina Alexandrova

Date: August 30, 2024

Tournament: US Open 2024

Round: Third round (Round of 32)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, United States

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard

Prize money: $75,000,000

Live telecast: USA - ESPN | Canada - TSN | UK - Sky Sports | India - Sony Sports


Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova preview

Aryna Sabalenka at the 2024 US Open (Getty)
Aryna Sabalenka at the 2024 US Open (Getty)

Second seed and the leading favorite for the title, Aryna Sabalenka, will take on 29th-seeded Ekaterina Alexandrova in the third round of the 2024 US Open. Sabalenka has been in fine form in 2024, with a 41-11 record and two titles to her name. She was in exceptional form in the build-up to the New York Major, winning the Cincinnati Open, and defeating Jessica Pegula in the final.

Regarding hard-court results, the World No. 2 won her second career major at the Australian Open. She also reached the final of the Brisbane International, losing to Elena Rybakina. At the US Open, Sablenka is yet to drop a set. The second seed registered a comfortable straight-set victory over Priscilla Hon and Lucia Bronzetti in the opening two rounds.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has had a mixed season in 2024. She entered the US Open on the back of a semi-final run at the Monterrey Open, losing to Lulu Sun. The Russian player has secured other impressive results on the hard courts in 2024 as well, reaching the final of the Linz Open (losing to Jelena Ostapenko), and the semi-final of the Miami Open (losing to Danielle Collins.

The 29th-seeded player has already played two grueling three-setters in the opening two rounds at the US Open. She recovered from a set down to defeat Viktoriya Tomova and teenage American Qualifier Iva Jovic in her first two matches in New York.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova head-to-head

The head-to-head between the two players is tied at 3-3, with Sabanlenka winning their most recent match at last year's Wimbledon.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Aryna Sabalenka-1100TBDTBD
Ekaterina Alexandrova+600TBDTBD

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction

Sabalenka has been one of the most prolific players on the hard courts in the women's game. Including her two Australian Open titles, the Belarusian has won 13 hardcourt titles and has 19 hard-court final appearances. Before the 2024 campaign, she had a 21-6 record at the US Open.

Alexandrova has a 57 percent win ratio on hard courts in her career, winning two titles from her six hard-court finals. At the US Open, the Russian player had a 7-7 record before 2024, with a third-round appearance last year being her best result in New York.

The head-to-head is on par between the two players, but considering the current hard-court form, Sabalenka is the favorite to win this match.

Pick- Sabalenka to win in straight sets

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