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US Open 2024: Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers

Date: Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Tournament: US Open 2024

Round: First Round (Round of 128)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, U.S.

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $75,000,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN, RDS | India - Sony Network

Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers preview

Pegula in action at the Western and Southern Open (Picture: Getty)
Pegula in action at the Western and Southern Open (Picture: Getty)

Sixth seed Jessica Pegula will kick off her 2024 US Open campaign against compatriot Shelby Rogers in the first round on Tuesday, August 27. The winner of the match will play either Emma Raducanu or Sofia Kenin in the second round.

Pegula heads into New York with an impressive 29-10 match record and two titles. She won her first title of the season at the Berlin Ladies Open in June after a challenging start marked by inconsistency and injuries. She defeated Katerina Siniakova and Donna Vekic on her way to the finals, where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in a three-set epic.

Pegula had a disappointing Olympic campaign, exiting in the second rounds of both the singles and doubles events. She began the American hardcourt season with renewed optimism and successfully defended her title at the National Bank Open by overseeing compatriot Amanda Anisimova in three sets 6-3, 2-6, 6-1.

She carried that momentum into Cincinnati last week, where she reached the finals. She defeated Taylor Townsend, Leylah Fernandez, and Paula Badosa before falling to Aryna Sabalenka in the final.

Rogers, meanwhile, has barely featured on tour this season. She announced her retirement from professional tennis earlier this year, with the US Open set to be her last tournament. She heads into New York with a 5-9 match record and is still searching for back-to-back victories, something she has yet to achieve this season.

Her American hardcourt swing has been disappointing. She was brushed aside by Elina Svitolina in Toronto at the expense of just two games In Cincinnati and Cleveland, her campaigns ended in the first round of qualifying, where she was defeated by Lulu Sun and Ana Bogdan respectively.


Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers head-to-head

Pegula leads Rogers 1-0 in their head-to-head, winning their only previous encounter 7-6 (4), 6-2 at the Indian Wells Oracle Challenger WTA 125K in 2021.

Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Jessica Pegula-2000-1.5 (-400)Over 18.5 (+105)
Shelby Rogers+825+1.5 (+250)Under 18.5 (-150)

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)

Jessica Pegula vs Shelby Rogers prediction

Shelby Rogers in action at the National Bank Open (Picture: Getty)
Shelby Rogers in action at the National Bank Open (Picture: Getty)

Jessica Pegula’s recent strong form, contrasted with Shelby Rogers’ poor performance and sporadic appearances on tour this season, significantly favors the younger American.

Rogers will need to deliver an exceptional performance in all departments to stand a chance against her higher-ranked and more versatile opponent. Key strategies for Rogers include serving well, attacking the net, and keeping points short.

Pegula, a strong contender for the title, is expected to come through this challenge comfortably. If she wins, she could face either Emma Raducanu or Sofia Kenin in the next round.

Pick: Pegula in straight sets.

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