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US Open 2024 QF: Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (2) Aryna Sabalenka vs (7) Zheng Qinwen

Date: September 3, 2024

Tournament: US Open 2024

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, United States

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard

Prize money: $75,000,000

Live telecast: USA - ESPN | Canada - TSN | UK - Sky Sports | India - Sony Sports


Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen preview

Aryna Sabalenka at the 2024 US Open (Getty)
Aryna Sabalenka at the 2024 US Open (Getty)

The quarterfinals of the 2024 US Open will feature a rematch of this year's Australian Open between Aryna Sabalenka and Zheng Qinwen. Sabalenka entered the event as last year's runner-up and is one of the favorites for the title.

Building on her momentum gained by winning the Cincinnati Open, Sabalenka easily defeated Priscilla Hon and Lucia Bronzetti in the first two rounds. The Belarusian faced off with Ekaterina Alexandrova in the next round. She lost the first set but regained her form in the match to win it in three sets.

Sabalenka faced off against former doubles partner Elise Mertens in the fourth round, securing a comfortable 6-2, 6-4 win over the Belgian.

Zheng Qinwen is having a breakthrough year in 2024. After making it to the quarterfinals of the US Open last year, she followed it up with a run to the final at the Australian Open this year. However, the seventh seed has not had a smooth US Open campaign.

In the first round, Zheng won after dropping the first set against the big-hitting American Amanda Anisimova. Similarly, she won her second-round match against Erika Andreeva after conceding the first set. She had her only straight-sets win of the event so far when she defeated Julie Niemeier in the third round.

In a rematch of the Olympic final, Zheng faced off against Donna Vekic in the fourth round, winning the match in three sets after almost three hours of play.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen head-to-head

The head-to-head is 2-0 in favor of Sabalenka, who won their last match at this year's Australian Open. The other match between the pair took place at last year's US Open, which the Belarusian won in straight sets.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Aryna Sabalenka-400TBDTBD
Zheng Qinwen+290TBDTBD

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)


Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen prediction

Sabalenka has been in tremendous form in 2024, winning two titles from five finals. The hard-hitting Belarusian has a 71 percent win ratio on hard courts, with 12 titles on the surface. At Flushing Meadows, the World No. 2 has a 25-6 record with last year's runner-up finish being her best result.

Zheng has a 62 percent win ratio on hard courts with a solitary title on the surface, which came at the Zhengzhou Open last year when she defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the final. Before 2024, she had a 6-2 record at the US Open, with last year's quarterfinal run being her best performance.

Sabalenka will be the on-paper favorite to win this match due to her current hard-court form, but Zheng has been playing inspired tennis since her Olympic triumph in Paris last month. Therefore the match can go the distance.

Pick - Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.

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