US Open 2024: Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick
Match Details
Fixture: (14) Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego
Date: Tuesday, August 27, 2024
Tournament: US Open 2024
Round: First Round (Round of 128)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, U.S.
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $75,000,000
Live Telecast: USA - ESPN | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN, RDS | India - Sony Network
Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego preview
Fourteenth seed and home favorite Tommy Paul is slated to open his 2024 US Open campaign against an in-form Lorenzo Sonego in a blockbuster first-round clash on Tuesday, August 27.
Paul boasts a 35-14 match record and two titles this year heading into the US Open. After a surprising second-round loss at the Australian Open, he reached back-to-back finals in Dallas and Delray Beach, winning the former against compatriot Marcos Giron but falling to Taylor Fritz in the latter. A semifinal finish at Indian Wells ended with a loss to Daniil Medvedev. His claycourt season was modest, highlighted only by a semifinal run in Rome.
Paul captured the biggest title of his career at Queen's Club, securing his first ATP 500 crown with a win over Lorenzo Musetti. He looked in great touch at Wimbledon but was defeated by Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinals after taking the first set. Paul also lost to Alcaraz at the same stage in the Olympics but won a bronze medal in doubles alongside Fritz. In the lead-up to the US Open, he suffered unexpected losses in the second round in Montreal and the first round in Cincinnati.
Sonego has an 18-21 match record this year and one title to his name. He struggled in the first half of the season, failing to win two consecutive matches until July when he reached the quarterfinals at the Croatian Open.
Sonego's American hardcourt season started poorly, but he rediscovered his best form in Winston-Salem. He thrashed American youngster and first-time finalist Alex Michelsen 6-0, 6-3, en route to his first title of the year and the fourth of his career.
Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego head-to-head
Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Sonego have met twice on the professional tour and split their head-to-head equally at 1-1. Sonego won their previous encounter at the 2021 BNP Paribas Open. They also played one futures match way back in 2015 which Paul won.
Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego odds
(Odds sourced from BetMGM)
Tommy Paul vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction
Tommy Paul's form heading into the US Open has been concerning. The demands of his strong first half of the season appear to have taken a toll, and could potentially affect his performances going forward. He appeared weary during his campaigns in Montreal and Cincinnati and will be hoping to turn things around soon.
In contrast, Sonego seems to have rebounded from his lackluster year so far with a decisive title-winning run in Winston-Salem just a week before the US Open. He didn't drop a set on his way to the crown and excelled in all aspects, particularly on serve and at the net.
While Paul is the clear favorite going into this match, Sonego's recent strong form could pose a challenge. Despite this, Paul's superior hardcourt record coupled with the support of the home crowd should see him advance.
Pick: Paul in four sets.