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Wimbledon 2024: Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (12) Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut

Date: July 7, 2024

Tournament: Wimbledon 2024

Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)

Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London, England

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Grass

Prize Money: £50,000,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN, Tennis Channel | UK - BBC | Canada - TSN/RDS, ESPN International


Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut preview

Tommy Paul at the 2024 Wimbledon. (Photo: Getty)
Tommy Paul at the 2024 Wimbledon. (Photo: Getty)

12th seed Tommy Paul will face Roberto Bautista Agut in the fourth round of the 2024 Wimbledon on Sunday, July 7.

Paul beat Pedro Martinez in four sets in his opener and needed five sets to escape Otto Virtanen in the second round. He was up against World No. 23 Alexander Bublik in the third round.

Paul captured the first couple of sets with a lone break of serve in his favor. Bublik had no fight left in him in the third set as the American broke his serve twice to score a comfortable 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 win.

Bautista Agut rolled back the years with a 6-3, 6-1, 6-4 win over Maximilian Marterer in the first round. Lorenzo Sonego offered more resistance in the second round but the Spaniard came through in four sets. He faced fellow veteran Fabio Fognini in the third round.

Both remained unshakeable on serve in the first set, which led to a tie-break. Bautista Agut gained the upper hand in it to take a one-set lead. Fognini nabbed the next two sets, coming down from 3-0 down in the third set as well to do so.

Bautista Agut led by a break twice in the fourth set but Fognini managed to break back on both occasions to remain hot on his trail. The match was suspended towards the closing stages of the set due to heavy rainfall.

When the action resumed the following day, Bautista Agut captured the fourth set after he edged out Fognini in the tie-break. The final set went the Spaniard's way as well, wrapping up a 7-6 (6), 3-6, 5-7, 7-6 (1), 6-4 win.


Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut head-to-head

Bautista Agut leads Paul 3-2 in the head-to-head. The American won their previous encounter at the 2023 Australian Open in four sets.


Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Tommy Paul-650
+1.5 (-1600)
Over 34.5 (-135)
Roberto Bautista Agut
+425
-1.5 (+625)
Under 34.5 (-105)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut at the 2024 Wimbledon. (Photo: Getty)
Roberto Bautista Agut at the 2024 Wimbledon. (Photo: Getty)

While Paul had it easy against Bublik, Bautista Agut was tested thoroughly by Fognini. The American fired 37 winners against 14 unforced errors and didn't drop his serve even once.

Bautista Agut enjoys the upper hand in his rivalry with Paul, though the latter has started to turn things around. The Spaniard won their first three encounters in straight sets and has since lost the next two.

Bautista Agut is a former semifinalist at Wimbledon, while Paul is through to the fourth round for the second time, his best result at the venue. The American has figured out how to deal with his older rival's gameplay and has performed better than him this year. As such, he will be expected to make it through his clash.

Pick: Tommy Paul to win in four sets.

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