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WTA Finals 2024: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Match Details

Fixture: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini

Date: November 4, 2024

Tournament: WTA Finals 2024

Round: Group Stage

Venue: King Saud University Indoor Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15.25 million

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini preview

Sabalenka plays a forehand in the WTA Finals 2024 (Source: Getty)
Sabalenka plays a forehand in the WTA Finals 2024 (Source: Getty)

Top seed Aryna Sabalenka will take on Jasmine Paolini in her second group stage match of the WTA Finals on Monday.

Sabalenka has had a fascinating season so far, having garnered title-winning runs in the Australian Open, Cincinnati Open, Wuhan Open and the US Open. She outfoxed Jessica Pegula in straight sets to lift her maiden title in New York, 7-5, 7-5.

The Belarusian entered Riyadh on the back of 20 wins from 21 matches on tour. She started her campaign with a potent win against Zheng Qinwen in the first group stage bout, 6-3, 6-4. Sabalenka is a heavy favorite to win the WTA Finals this year.

Paolini celebrates a point in the WTA Finals (Source: Getty)
Paolini celebrates a point in the WTA Finals (Source: Getty)

Jasmine Paolini, meanwhile, has been a breath of fresh air on the women's tour. She's garnered 39 wins from 57 matches, including a title-winning run in the Dubai Tennis Championships. She also secured runner-up finishes in the French Open and Wimbledon, where she lost to Barbora Krejcikova in the finals.

The Italian entered Riyadh on the back of a quarterfinal exit in Wuhan. She started her campaign with a solid win against Elena Rybakina in the first bout, 7-6(5), 6-4. Paolini is making her first appearance in the WTA Finals this year.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini head-to-head

The head-to-head between Sabalenka and Paolini is poised at 2-2. Sabalenka won their most recent encounter in the 2023 China Open.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games 
Aryna Sabalenka 
Jasmine Paolini

Odds will be updated when available.


Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini prediction

Sabalenka plays a forehand in the WTA Finals (Source: Getty)
Sabalenka plays a forehand in the WTA Finals (Source: Getty)

Aryna Sabalenka is the player to beat on the women's tour at the moment. The Belarusian seems to be playing a much higher level than her peers and will be keen to finish the season with a title. Her opponents have struggled to deal with her powerful groundstrokes off both wings.

Jasmine Paolini, on the contrary, is quickly making a name for herself on the main tour. Critics have admired her never say die attitude with the Italian constantly breaking barriers at the highest level. She has a solid all-around game and great anticipation skills on court.

Considering their recent results and record on tour, Sabalenka is a clear favorite to come out on top. Paolini has the pedigree to present a tough challenge on Monday, but it is most likely that the top seed passes this test and wins her second group stage bout.

Pick: Sabalenka to win in three-sets.

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