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NFL Playoff Chances 2024-25

NFL Playoff Qualification Probability

Last Updated: September 16, 2024
01:41 PM ET
Based on 1,00,000 simulations
American Football Conference
NORTH
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
BAL logo BAL
0-2-0
61.8%
33.9%
17.2%
8.4%
4.0%
1.6%
34.1%
CIN logo CIN
0-2-0
56.3%
26.9%
11.5%
4.8%
2.1%
1.1%
29.9%
CLE logo CLE
1-1-0
38.4%
15.2%
5.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.7%
17.0%
PIT logo PIT
2-0-0
40.6%
14.5%
4.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.7%
19.1%
EAST
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
BUF logo BUF
2-0-0
95.2%
46.5%
42.4%
23.1%
12.7%
24.6%
73.6%
MIA logo MIA
1-1-0
50.2%
19.9%
7.8%
3.0%
1.1%
1.2%
7.9%
NE logo NE
1-1-0
7.1%
1.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.7%
NYJ logo NYJ
1-1-0
63.3%
27.4%
12.2%
4.9%
2.0%
2.9%
17.9%
WEST
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
DEN logo DEN
0-2-0
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
KC logo KC
2-0-0
98.9%
35.5%
54.0%
32.0%
18.3%
47.8%
89.1%
LAC logo LAC
2-0-0
57.4%
20.3%
7.5%
2.4%
0.8%
2.2%
10.2%
LV logo LV
1-1-0
11.9%
2.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.1%
0.7%
SOUTH
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
HOU logo HOU
2-0-0
96.2%
49.2%
35.3%
17.5%
8.8%
17.2%
94.3%
IND logo IND
0-2-0
11.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2.3%
JAX logo JAX
0-2-0
7.6%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
2.5%
TEN logo TEN
0-2-0
3.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.9%
National Football Conference
WEST
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
ARI logo ARI
1-1-0
15.2%
4.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.2%
4.2%
LAR logo LAR
0-2-0
6.2%
2.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1.6%
SEA logo SEA
2-0-0
56.0%
22.3%
10.2%
4.1%
1.5%
2.9%
25.4%
SF logo SF
1-1-0
84.4%
45.0%
34.2%
20.0%
11.1%
12.6%
68.8%
SOUTH
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
ATL logo ATL
0-1-0
11.3%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.2%
1.5%
CAR logo CAR
0-2-0
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
NO logo NO
2-0-0
87.1%
35.9%
24.9%
11.5%
5.2%
15.8%
46.4%
TB logo TB
2-0-0
86.8%
36.8%
26.8%
12.9%
6.1%
16.9%
52.2%
NORTH
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
CHI logo CHI
1-1-0
11.8%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
2.9%
DET logo DET
1-1-0
75.8%
39.5%
25.3%
13.4%
6.8%
7.4%
47.4%
GB logo GB
1-1-0
53.9%
24.8%
12.5%
5.7%
2.6%
2.5%
24.8%
MIN logo MIN
2-0-0
54.0%
20.0%
8.3%
3.1%
1.2%
2.7%
24.9%
EAST
Record
Qualify
Playoff
Win
wildcard
Win
Divisional
Win
Conference
Win
Superbowl
Top
Conference
Top
Division
DAL logo DAL
1-1-0
57.0%
24.8%
12.3%
5.4%
2.3%
2.9%
14.7%
NYG logo NYG
0-2-0
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
PHI logo PHI
1-0-0
96.2%
36.7%
41.3%
22.7%
12.0%
35.7%
84.7%
WAS logo WAS
1-1-0
3.6%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.6%

Explore Team Level Playoff Chances

32 NFL teams will all vie for a shot at the holy grail of football – the Lombardi Trophy. But like every year, just one team will reign supreme. While a few teams have their NFL playoff chances in the high 70s to start the year, some will bow out of contention sooner rather than later. Our NFL Playoff Probability is the ultimate resource for assessing your favorite NFL team’s playoff chances. By taking into consideration the strength of schedule and division-wise records weekly, our playoff predictor will outline every NFL team’s clinching scenarios for the week along with their probabilities of winning the divisional round and, ultimately, the Super Bowl.

How are Sportskeeda's NFL Playoff chances calculated?

Sportskeeda uses a sophisticated approach to analyzing NFL playoff chances that combines several key elements. This methodology helps us to analyze various factors to understand a team's potential for making the postseason.

Firstly, we utilize weekly NFL power rankings to gauge the relative strength of each team.


Secondly, we employ our algorithm to simulate the remaining games, incorporating factors such as team matchups and historical performance data. These simulations, executed an extensive 100,000 times, provide a comprehensive picture of potential outcomes, including clinching scenarios for various playoff spots.
Through this process, we are able to generate insights into the probability of each team making it to the playoffs and also visualize potential playoff pictures in later stages.


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